NUTS-3 SE311 · Sweden
Värmlands län
Värmlands län generates €12bn of GDP across 283.4k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 40/100 is mid-table of EU regions, led by economic scale and livability. Its economy has grown +3.2%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 2.2pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for health (78th EU percentile) and weakest for digital connectivity (22.5th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Mid-field stable67 → 71 EU percentile since 1995 (+5 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Energy cost97
Governance93
Freight intensity91
Demographic outlook86
Talent & skills79
Air quality70
Labour market67
Cost advantage64
Economic base59
Quality of life51
Resilience50
Industrial base45
Digital readiness27
Growth momentum25
Connectivity14
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
40
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth24.8
Livability51.2
Market access17
Economic scale67
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
50.3
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability9
Labour stability77
Diversification66
Demographic stability49
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
14
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density18
Airport access7
Market access17
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
79
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary70
Lifelong learning98
Knowledge workers83
Scientists & engineers65
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Clean-Air Score · air-quality livability (experimental)
70
/ 100 · higher = cleaner air than more EU regions · 3/3 pollutants
PM2.55.7 µg/m³
PM1013.4 µg/m³
NO211.8 µg/m³
PM2.5, PM10 & NO2 annual means from official monitoring networks, inverted (lower pollution = higher) and EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = cleaner air; ground-level ozone is shown separately. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
51.2
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy47.5
Jobs41
Education49.5
Health78
Safety49
Connectivity22.5
Environment71
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
24.8
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+3.2%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+2.2%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+1.0 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
+0.0 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
+0.1%
CAGR
Employment rate
+2.2 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
+0.5 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Public · health · education · 28.2%Diversified · HHI 2154
Agriculture 2.8%Industry 23.1%Construction 8.3%Trade · transport · ICT 23.4%Finance · real estate · prof. 14.2%Public · health · education 28.2%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2024
GDP (current prices)
€11,976M2024
7.9% 1y 3.2% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 67
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€10,937M2025
1.6% 1y 1.3% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 68
Population
283,3842025
0.1% 1y 0.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 55
Unemployment rate
8.3%2025
18.6% 1y 1.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 85
Employment
132,5802024
1.1% 1y 0.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 56
Productivity / employee
€96,1052025
6.3% 1y 3.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 76
Gross value added
€10,726M2024
8.1% 1y 3.4% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 67
Dwelling price
1,290 kSEK2025
6.5% 1y 4.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 20
All indicators · 88 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,726M
2024 · EU pctl 67
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€305M
2024 · EU pctl 74
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,481M
2024 · EU pctl 65
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,738M
2024 · EU pctl 62
GVA — construction (F)
€885M
2024 · EU pctl 77
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,513M
2024 · EU pctl 71
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€21,700
2023 · EU pctl 36 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,500 PPS
2024 · EU pctl 59
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€42,000
2024 · EU pctl 69
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€7,213M
2023 · EU pctl 21 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€1,289M
2023 · EU pctl 28 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€17,269M
2023 · EU pctl 28 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€609M
2024 · EU pctl 37
GVA — information & communication (J)
€278M
2024 · EU pctl 64
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,521M
2024 · EU pctl 50
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,020M
2024 · EU pctl 75
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€10,937M
2025 · EU pctl 68
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€96,105
2025 · EU pctl 76
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,755M
2025 · EU pctl 68
Labour market
Employment, total persons
132,580
2024 · EU pctl 56
Self-employed persons
7,300
2024 · EU pctl 25
Employment in manufacturing (C)
17,000
2024 · EU pctl 49
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
83.2%
2025 · EU pctl 88 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
23.7%
2025 · EU pctl 82 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.3%
2025 · EU pctl 85
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
147,600
2025 · EU pctl 59
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
19,424
2023 · EU pctl 59
Enterprise births
1,391
2023 · EU pctl 53
Enterprise deaths
1,211
2023 · EU pctl 55
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.9%
2023 · EU pctl 63
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
1.0%
2023 · EU pctl 23 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
3.9%
2025 · EU pctl 42 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
0.6%
2023 · EU pctl 19 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
41.4%
2025 · EU pctl 76 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
45.7%
2025 · EU pctl 70 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
34.2%
2025 · EU pctl 98 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
28.7%
2025 · EU pctl 83 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
9.7%
2025 · EU pctl 65 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
93.8%
2025 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,972,828
2025 · EU pctl 69
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
558 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 33 · NUTS-2 src
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,398 kt
2025 · EU pctl 79
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
36
CURRENT · EU pctl 16
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
13
CURRENT · EU pctl 18
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²)
1 km/1000km²
2024 · EU pctl 9 · NUTS-2 src
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
127
CURRENT · EU pctl 93
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
CURRENT · EU pctl 0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
167,707
2025 · EU pctl 53
Population aged 65+
71,235
2025 · EU pctl 60
Population aged under 15
44,442
2025 · EU pctl 61
Median age of population
44.8 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 35
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.5%
2025 · EU pctl 78
Crude rate of total population change
-0.6 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 40
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.4 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 30
Crude birth rate
8.0 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 56
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 39
Live births
2,279
2024 · EU pctl 59
Deaths
3,113
2024 · EU pctl 52
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
69.0%
2025 · EU pctl 89
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.42
2024 · EU pctl 54
Population density (persons per km²)
16 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 3
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
323,277
2100 · EU pctl 67
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
182 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 1 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
902 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 25 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
204 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 15 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.8 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 47
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
628 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 95
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,882 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 90
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
27 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 12 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
2022 · EU pctl 95
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
2022 · EU pctl 91
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
2022 · EU pctl 93
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2022 · EU pctl 93
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
2022 · EU pctl 93
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 3
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 98
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,290 kSEK
2025 · EU pctl 20
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
175 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 44
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 5
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
131 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 94
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 36
Environment
PM10 (coarse particulate matter) annual mean concentration — mean across EEA air-quality monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
13
2024 · EU pctl 34
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
12
2024 · EU pctl 45
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
71.0 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 81
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
10.2%
2021 · EU pctl 87
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Sweden regions