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SE311 · SE332

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NUTS-3 SE311 · Sweden
Population
283,3842025
GDP
€11,976M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
21,904.3 km²
NUTS-3 SE332 · Sweden
Population
248,6202025
GDP
€13,486M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
82%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
105,914.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Värmlands län (Opportunity 40). Runner-up: Norrbottens län (36). Contrarian pick: Norrbottens län — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 98).

Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Governance (93)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Freight intensity (98) · Energy cost (97)
Red flags
Growth momentum (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Värmlands län
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 14) — Norrbottens län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsVärmlands län · ManufacturingVärmlands län · OfficeNorrbottens län · ResidentialVärmlands län.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
40.0
36.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
50.3
43.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
51.2
57.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
70.0
38.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
14.0
14.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
79.0
85.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
24.8
11.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.3% 5y
0.5% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.8% 5y
4.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€42,262
€54,242
Population density
13 /km²
2 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,726M
€12,077M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€305M
€241M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,481M
€3,332M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,738M
€902M
GVA — construction (F)
€885M
€1,283M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,513M
€2,051M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€21,700
€22,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,500 PPS
45,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€42,000
€53,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,213M
€8,790M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,289M
€2,262M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€17,269M
€12,254M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€609M
€710M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€278M
€320M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,521M
€2,074M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,020M
€3,098M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€10,937M
€12,002M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€96,105
€111,944
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,755M
€4,813M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
132,580
128,160
Self-employed persons
7,300
5,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
17,000
10,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
83.2%
83.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
23.7%
23.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.3%
7.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
147,600
129,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
19,424
17,898
Enterprise births
1,391
1,387
Enterprise deaths
1,211
1,001
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.9%
4.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.0%
2.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.9%
4.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
41.4%
48.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
45.7%
44.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
34.2%
35.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
28.7%
30.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.7%
12.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.8%
97.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,972,828
2,879,860
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
558 /1k
536 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,398 kt
20,655 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
36
22
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
13
9
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
1 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
127
86
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
167,707
148,541
Population aged 65+
71,235
62,919
Population aged under 15
44,442
37,160
Median age of population
44.8 yrs
44.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.5%
42.4%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.6 /1k
0.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.4 /1k
4.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.0 /1k
7.9 /1k
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
11.6 /1k
Live births
2,279
1,962
Deaths
3,113
2,872
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
69.0%
67.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.42
1.43
Population density (persons per km²)
16 /km²
3 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
323,277
252,726
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.3%
15.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.3 yrs
82.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.2%
13.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
182 /100k
198 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
902 /100k
949 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
204 /100k
202 /100k
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.8 /100k
15.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
628 /100k
326 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,882 /100k
1,598 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
27 /M
30 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.91
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.62
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.74
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2.03
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.94
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.085/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.073/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,290 kSEK
1,411 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
175 m
534 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
0 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
131 days/yr
224 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr