NUTS-3 SE313 · Sweden
Gävleborgs län
Gävleborgs län generates €11bn of GDP across 284.6k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 33.8/100 sits in the lower tier of EU regions, led by economic scale and livability. Its economy has grown +0.6%/yr over five years, with the employment rate up 2.2pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for health (78th EU percentile) and weakest for digital connectivity (15.5th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Mid-field stable66 → 63 EU percentile since 1995 (-2 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Energy cost97
Governance93
Demographic outlook92
Freight intensity91
Talent & skills79
Labour market67
Cost advantage64
Air quality52
Resilience51
Economic base47
Quality of life47
Industrial base41
Digital readiness27
Growth momentum18
Connectivity4
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
33.8
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth17.8
Livability46.5
Market access7
Economic scale64
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
50.8
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability26
Labour stability77
Diversification67
Demographic stability33
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
4
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density4
Airport access1
Market access7
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
79
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary70
Lifelong learning98
Knowledge workers83
Scientists & engineers65
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Clean-Air Score · air-quality livability (experimental)
52
/ 100 · higher = cleaner air than more EU regions · 3/3 pollutants
PM2.55.6 µg/m³
PM1016.7 µg/m³
NO215.7 µg/m³
PM2.5, PM10 & NO2 annual means from official monitoring networks, inverted (lower pollution = higher) and EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = cleaner air; ground-level ozone is shown separately. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
46.5
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy41.5
Jobs41
Education49.5
Health78
Safety48
Connectivity15.5
Environment52.3
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
17.8
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+0.6%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+0.9%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
-0.3 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
-2.5 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
-0.2%
CAGR
Employment rate
+2.2 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
+0.5 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Public · health · education · 32.3%Diversified · HHI 2153
Agriculture 3.3%Industry 18.7%Construction 9.3%Trade · transport · ICT 19%Finance · real estate · prof. 17.4%Public · health · education 32.3%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2024
GDP (current prices)
€10,971M2024
4.0% 1y 0.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 64
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€10,019M2025
1.6% 1y 1.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 66
Population
284,5582025
0.4% 1y 0.2% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 55
Unemployment rate
8.3%2025
15.3% 1y 1.2% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 85
Employment
133,5702024
1.0% 1y 0.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 57
Productivity / employee
€87,3852025
6.3% 1y 0.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 60
Gross value added
€9,825M2024
4.3% 1y 0.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 63
Dwelling price
1,264 kSEK2025
1.1% 1y 0.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 15
All indicators · 88 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€9,825M
2024 · EU pctl 63
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€326M
2024 · EU pctl 76
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,840M
2024 · EU pctl 55
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,484M
2024 · EU pctl 56
GVA — construction (F)
€916M
2024 · EU pctl 78
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,863M
2024 · EU pctl 60
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€21,700
2023 · EU pctl 36 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
32,300 PPS
2024 · EU pctl 47
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€38,300
2024 · EU pctl 59
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€7,213M
2023 · EU pctl 21 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€1,289M
2023 · EU pctl 28 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€17,269M
2023 · EU pctl 28 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€688M
2024 · EU pctl 41
GVA — information & communication (J)
€311M
2024 · EU pctl 66
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,707M
2024 · EU pctl 56
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,173M
2024 · EU pctl 76
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€10,019M
2025 · EU pctl 66
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€87,385
2025 · EU pctl 60
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,524M
2025 · EU pctl 64
Labour market
Employment, total persons
133,570
2024 · EU pctl 57
Self-employed persons
6,500
2024 · EU pctl 21
Employment in manufacturing (C)
17,500
2024 · EU pctl 50
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
83.2%
2025 · EU pctl 88 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
23.7%
2025 · EU pctl 82 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.3%
2025 · EU pctl 85
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
147,500
2025 · EU pctl 59
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
19,051
2023 · EU pctl 59
Enterprise births
1,385
2023 · EU pctl 52
Enterprise deaths
1,201
2023 · EU pctl 54
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.1%
2023 · EU pctl 66
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
1.0%
2023 · EU pctl 23 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
3.9%
2025 · EU pctl 42 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
0.6%
2023 · EU pctl 19 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
41.4%
2025 · EU pctl 76 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
45.7%
2025 · EU pctl 70 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
34.2%
2025 · EU pctl 98 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
28.7%
2025 · EU pctl 83 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
9.7%
2025 · EU pctl 65 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
93.8%
2025 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,239,247
2025 · EU pctl 58
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
558 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 33 · NUTS-2 src
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3
CURRENT · EU pctl 4
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,725 kt
2025 · EU pctl 79
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
CURRENT · EU pctl 4
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²)
1 km/1000km²
2024 · EU pctl 9 · NUTS-2 src
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
186
CURRENT · EU pctl 99
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
CURRENT · EU pctl 0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
167,706
2025 · EU pctl 53
Population aged 65+
72,154
2025 · EU pctl 60
Population aged under 15
44,698
2025 · EU pctl 62
Median age of population
45.4 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 42
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
43.0%
2025 · EU pctl 79
Crude rate of total population change
-3.8 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 21
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-0.3 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 13
Crude birth rate
7.8 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 51
Crude death rate
11.3 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 44
Live births
2,231
2024 · EU pctl 58
Deaths
3,217
2024 · EU pctl 54
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
69.7%
2025 · EU pctl 90
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.44
2024 · EU pctl 59
Population density (persons per km²)
16 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 2
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
339,346
2100 · EU pctl 69
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
182 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 1 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
902 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 25 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
204 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 15 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
30.1 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 63
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
725 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 97
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,086 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 92
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
27 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 12 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
2022 · EU pctl 95
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
2022 · EU pctl 91
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
2022 · EU pctl 93
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2022 · EU pctl 93
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
2022 · EU pctl 93
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 3
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 98
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,264 kSEK
2025 · EU pctl 15
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
141 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 38
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 8
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
144 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 95
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 33
Environment
PM10 (coarse particulate matter) annual mean concentration — mean across EEA air-quality monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
17
2024 · EU pctl 65
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
16
2024 · EU pctl 71
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
42.0 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 64
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
11.0%
2021 · EU pctl 89
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Sweden regions