NUTS-3 ITG13 · Italy
Messina
Messina generates €13bn of GDP across 596.1k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 41.7/100 is mid-table of EU regions, led by economic scale and economic growth. Its economy has grown +3.6%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 7.0pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for safety (68th EU percentile) and weakest for jobs (2.5th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Long-run faller39 → 26 EU percentile since 1995 (-13 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Cost advantage71
Growth momentum46
Energy cost46
Air quality38
Resilience33
Quality of life30
Demographic outlook21
Governance20
Connectivity19
Economic base17
Industrial base10
Digital readiness9
Talent & skills7
Freight intensity4
Labour market1
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
41.7
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth46
Livability29.7
Market access20
Economic scale71
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
32.8
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability61
Labour stability17
Diversification35
Demographic stability18
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
19
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density0
Airport access37
Market access20
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
7
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary6
Lifelong learning16
Knowledge workers5
Scientists & engineers1
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Clean-Air Score · air-quality livability (experimental)
38
/ 100 · higher = cleaner air than more EU regions · 2/3 pollutants
PM2.5—
PM1020.7 µg/m³
NO210.9 µg/m³
PM2.5, PM10 & NO2 annual means from official monitoring networks, inverted (lower pollution = higher) and EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = cleaner air; ground-level ozone is shown separately. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
29.7
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy23
Jobs2.5
Education13
Health58.5
Safety68
Connectivity4.5
Environment38.5
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
46
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+3.6%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+1.9%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+1.7 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
-0.1 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
-0.6%
CAGR
Employment rate
+7.0 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
-5.9 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Public · health · education · 30.6%Diversified · HHI 2351
Agriculture 3.2%Industry 8.3%Construction 7.3%Trade · transport · ICT 24.5%Finance · real estate · prof. 26.2%Public · health · education 30.6%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2023
GDP (current prices)
€13,473M2023
7.0% 1y 3.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 71
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€12,642M2025
0.6% 1y 3.2% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 74
Population
596,1472025
0.3% 1y 0.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 83
Unemployment rate
12.1%2025
27.5% 1y 14.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 96
Employment
205,8002023
1.4% 1y 0.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 74
Productivity / employee
€66,6122025
1.4% 1y 3.7% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 28
Gross value added
€12,103M2023
7.1% 1y 3.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 71
All indicators · 88 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€12,103M
2023 · EU pctl 71
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€391M
2023 · EU pctl 81
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,001M
2023 · EU pctl 32
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€752M
2023 · EU pctl 32
GVA — construction (F)
€880M
2023 · EU pctl 76
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,963M
2023 · EU pctl 75
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€16,800
2024 · EU pctl 29 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
23,300 PPS
2023 · EU pctl 17
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,500
2023 · EU pctl 24
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€24,161M
2023 · EU pctl 72 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€2,214M
2023 · EU pctl 48 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€40,753M
2023 · EU pctl 59 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,754M
2023 · EU pctl 72
GVA — information & communication (J)
€127M
2023 · EU pctl 46
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,171M
2023 · EU pctl 75
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,698M
2023 · EU pctl 80
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,642M
2025 · EU pctl 74
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€66,612
2025 · EU pctl 28
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,088M
2025 · EU pctl 72
Labour market
Employment, total persons
205,800
2023 · EU pctl 74
Self-employed persons
51,600
2023 · EU pctl 88
Employment in manufacturing (C)
13,200
2023 · EU pctl 39
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
54.1%
2025 · EU pctl 1 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
33.8%
2025 · EU pctl 97 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
12.1%
2025 · EU pctl 96
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
209,300
2025 · EU pctl 73
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
40,242
2023 · EU pctl 80
Enterprise births
3,177
2023 · EU pctl 75
Enterprise deaths
2,237
2023 · EU pctl 72
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.6%
2023 · EU pctl 56
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
1.0%
2023 · EU pctl 24 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
2.6%
2025 · EU pctl 12 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
0.7%
2023 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
16.9%
2025 · EU pctl 2 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
24.0%
2025 · EU pctl 6 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
7.2%
2025 · EU pctl 16 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
15.8%
2025 · EU pctl 5 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
3.9%
2025 · EU pctl 1 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
90.9%
2025 · EU pctl 9 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
4,726,312
2025 · EU pctl 86
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
733 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 96 · NUTS-2 src
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,200 kt
2025 · EU pctl 31
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
CURRENT · EU pctl 0
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
0
CURRENT · EU pctl 0
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²)
28 km/1000km²
2024 · EU pctl 63 · NUTS-2 src
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
66
CURRENT · EU pctl 62
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
CURRENT · EU pctl 15
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
374,916
2025 · EU pctl 83
Population aged 65+
152,867
2025 · EU pctl 89
Population aged under 15
68,364
2025 · EU pctl 76
Median age of population
49.5 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 81
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.8%
2025 · EU pctl 72
Crude rate of total population change
-3.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 23
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.9 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 33
Crude birth rate
6.0 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 15
Crude death rate
12.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 59
Live births
3,605
2024 · EU pctl 75
Deaths
7,288
2024 · EU pctl 88
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
2025 · EU pctl 48
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.10
2024 · EU pctl 9
Population density (persons per km²)
183 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 62
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
379,060
2100 · EU pctl 73
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
288 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 18 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
1,031 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 52 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
209 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 21 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 0
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.4 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 38
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
558 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 35
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
50 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 61 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
2022 · EU pctl 20
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
2022 · EU pctl 14
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 20
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 15
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
2022 · EU pctl 25
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 54
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 19
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
372 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 70
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
33 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 85
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 3
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
8 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 79
Environment
PM10 (coarse particulate matter) annual mean concentration — mean across EEA air-quality monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
21
2024 · EU pctl 83
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
11
2024 · EU pctl 40
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
66
2024 · EU pctl 91
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
8.0 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 13
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
0.1%
2021 · EU pctl 4
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Italy regions