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ITG13 · ES418

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NUTS-3 ITG13 · Italy
Population
596,1472025
GDP
€13,473M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
51.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,265.3 km²
NUTS-3 ES418 · Spain
Population
528,6442025
GDP
€16,425M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
8,115.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Valladolid (Opportunity 53). Runner-up: Messina (42). Contrarian pick: Messina — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 71).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (75)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (71) · Growth momentum (46)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 13 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Valladolid
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 12) — Messina may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Valladolid leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
41.7
53.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
32.8
47.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
29.7
51.6
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
38.0
43.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
19.0
17.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
7.0
60.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.0
54.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.2% 5y
2.1% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
14.6% 5y
4.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€22,599
€31,071
Population density
183 /km²
65 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€12,103M
€14,905M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€391M
€371M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,001M
€3,938M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€752M
€2,910M
GVA — construction (F)
€880M
€681M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,963M
€3,219M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€16,800
€18,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
23,300 PPS
35,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,500
€31,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€24,161M
€13,527M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,214M
€2,707M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€40,753M
€32,274M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,754M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€127M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,171M
€3,307M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,698M
€3,388M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,642M
€15,077M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€66,612
€74,524
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,088M
€3,606M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
205,800
237,100
Self-employed persons
51,600
34,900
Employment in manufacturing (C)
13,200
34,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
54.1%
75.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
33.8%
24.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
12.1%
8.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
209,300
257,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
40,242
32,860
Enterprise births
3,177
2,319
Enterprise deaths
2,237
2,185
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.6%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.0%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.6%
3.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
16.9%
42.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
24.0%
52.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
7.2%
15.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
15.8%
22.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
3.9%
7.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
90.9%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
4,726,312
1,561,276
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
733 /1k
601 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,200 kt
21,758 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
75
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
28 km/1000km²
26 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
0
14
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
66
165
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
374,916
333,453
Population aged 65+
152,867
132,920
Population aged under 15
68,364
62,271
Median age of population
49.5 yrs
49.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.8%
39.9%
Crude rate of total population change
-3.2 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.9 /1k
10.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.0 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude death rate
12.2 /1k
9.8 /1k
Live births
3,605
3,048
Deaths
7,288
5,140
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
58.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.10
1.14
Population density (persons per km²)
183 /km²
65 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
379,060
328,102
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
44.0%
24.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.6 yrs
84.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
38.4%
19.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
288 /100k
343 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,031 /100k
749 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.4 /100k
33.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
245 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
558 /100k
164 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
68 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
372 m
702 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
33 days/yr
52 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
42 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
8 days/yr
2 days/yr