NUTS-3 ITG13 · Italy
Population
596,1472025
GDP
€13,473M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
51.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
3,265.3 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
ITG13 · ITF61
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Cosenza (Opportunity 43). Runner-up: Messina (42). Contrarian pick: Messina — leads the set on Growth momentum (EU pctl 46).
#1Cosenza
Strengths
Cost advantage (72) · Demographic outlook (69)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
#2Messina
Strengths
Cost advantage (71) · Growth momentum (46)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 13 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Cosenza
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 0) — Messina may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Cosenza leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
41.7
42.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
32.8
31.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
29.7
38.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
38.0
—
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
19.0
34.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
7.0
13.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.0
43.2
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.2% 5y
2.4% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
14.6% 5y
15.8% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€22,599
€19,535
Population density
183 /km²
101 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€12,103M
€11,750M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€391M
€519M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,001M
€844M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€752M
€489M
GVA — construction (F)
€880M
€879M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,963M
€2,862M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€16,800
€16,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
23,300 PPS
20,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,500
€19,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€24,161M
€8,676M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,214M
€460M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€40,753M
€14,341M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,754M
€1,748M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€127M
€273M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,171M
€3,264M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,698M
€3,383M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,642M
€11,866M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€66,612
€61,998
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,088M
€2,950M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
205,800
217,400
Self-employed persons
51,600
65,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
13,200
10,300
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
54.1%
51.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
33.8%
28.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
12.1%
9.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
209,300
227,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
40,242
43,698
Enterprise births
3,177
3,732
Enterprise deaths
2,237
2,564
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.6%
4.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.0%
0.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.6%
1.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
16.9%
18.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
24.0%
25.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
7.2%
9.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
15.8%
16.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
3.9%
4.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
90.9%
88.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
4,726,312
3,561,562
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
733 /1k
750 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,200 kt
12,468 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
2,912
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
0
435
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
28 km/1000km²
19 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
66
76
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
374,916
423,605
Population aged 65+
152,867
166,279
Population aged under 15
68,364
79,651
Median age of population
49.5 yrs
48.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.8%
39.3%
Crude rate of total population change
-3.2 /1k
-1.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.9 /1k
4.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.0 /1k
6.3 /1k
Crude death rate
12.2 /1k
11.7 /1k
Live births
3,605
4,252
Deaths
7,288
7,810
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
58.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.10
1.15
Population density (persons per km²)
183 /km²
100 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
379,060
533,988
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
44.0%
45.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.6 yrs
82.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
38.4%
32.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
288 /100k
256 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,031 /100k
968 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
204 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.1 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.4 /100k
14.5 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
558 /100k
488 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
52 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
372 m
333 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
33 days/yr
52 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
5 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
8 days/yr
7 days/yr