NUTS-3 ITC48 · Italy
Pavia
Pavia generates €16bn of GDP across 541.9k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 60.5/100 puts it in the upper quartile of EU regions, led by economic scale and market access. Its economy has grown +3.6%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 3.3pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for health (92.5th EU percentile) and weakest for clean environment (19th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Long-run faller82 → 41 EU percentile since 1995 (-40 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Demographic outlook70
Industrial base59
Digital readiness58
Freight intensity56
Connectivity50
Resilience47
Quality of life47
Energy cost46
Growth momentum45
Economic base44
Cost advantage37
Talent & skills30
Labour market26
Governance20
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
60.5
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth44.6
Livability46.5
Market access75
Economic scale76
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
46.8
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability38
Labour stability47
Diversification54
Demographic stability48
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
49.7
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density15
Airport access59
Market access75
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
29.5
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary27
Lifelong learning62
Knowledge workers19
Scientists & engineers10
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
46.5
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy53.5
Jobs57
Education23
Health92.5
Safety44
Connectivity36.5
Environment19
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
44.6
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+3.6%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+2.7%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+0.9 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
-0.0 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
+0.1%
CAGR
Employment rate
+3.3 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
-2.1 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Finance · real estate · prof. · 30.7%Diversified · HHI 2222
Agriculture 2.1%Industry 22.3%Construction 6.5%Trade · transport · ICT 19.4%Finance · real estate · prof. 30.7%Public · health · education 19%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2023
GDP (current prices)
€16,381M2023
4.0% 1y 3.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 76
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€14,916M2025
0.6% 1y 3.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 77
Population
541,9492025
0.6% 1y 0.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 80
Unemployment rate
2.9%2025
17.1% 1y 11.7% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 9
Employment
199,2002023
0.9% 1y 0.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 73
Productivity / employee
€84,7122025
1.4% 1y 4.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 52
Gross value added
€14,716M2023
4.0% 1y 3.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 76
All indicators · 87 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€14,716M
2023 · EU pctl 76
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€315M
2023 · EU pctl 75
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,280M
2023 · EU pctl 75
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,836M
2023 · EU pctl 78
GVA — construction (F)
€959M
2023 · EU pctl 79
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,858M
2023 · EU pctl 75
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€26,600
2024 · EU pctl 63 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
31,600 PPS
2023 · EU pctl 44
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€30,500
2023 · EU pctl 38
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€101,220M
2023 · EU pctl 98 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€19,922M
2023 · EU pctl 98 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€188,904M
2023 · EU pctl 98 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€2,116M
2023 · EU pctl 76
GVA — information & communication (J)
€223M
2023 · EU pctl 59
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€4,515M
2023 · EU pctl 82
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,789M
2023 · EU pctl 72
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€14,916M
2025 · EU pctl 77
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€84,712
2025 · EU pctl 52
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,432M
2025 · EU pctl 75
Labour market
Employment, total persons
199,200
2023 · EU pctl 73
Self-employed persons
50,700
2023 · EU pctl 87
Employment in manufacturing (C)
32,600
2023 · EU pctl 74
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
71.7%
2025 · EU pctl 15 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
10.9%
2025 · EU pctl 38 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
2025 · EU pctl 9
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
251,100
2025 · EU pctl 78
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
37,947
2023 · EU pctl 79
Enterprise births
2,903
2023 · EU pctl 73
Enterprise deaths
2,313
2023 · EU pctl 73
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
2023 · EU pctl 38
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
1.2%
2023 · EU pctl 34 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
5.3%
2025 · EU pctl 70 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
1.6%
2023 · EU pctl 70 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
23.6%
2025 · EU pctl 12 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
34.0%
2025 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
11.8%
2025 · EU pctl 62 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
18.7%
2025 · EU pctl 19 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
5.2%
2025 · EU pctl 10 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
96.0%
2025 · EU pctl 58 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
643,092
2025 · EU pctl 39
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
640 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 74 · NUTS-2 src
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
50
CURRENT · EU pctl 19
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
16,525 kt
2025 · EU pctl 82
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
9
CURRENT · EU pctl 15
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²)
32 km/1000km²
2024 · EU pctl 69 · NUTS-2 src
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
47
CURRENT · EU pctl 41
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
4
CURRENT · EU pctl 90
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
342,342
2025 · EU pctl 79
Population aged 65+
137,577
2025 · EU pctl 86
Population aged under 15
62,030
2025 · EU pctl 72
Median age of population
49.9 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 84
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.2%
2025 · EU pctl 69
Crude rate of total population change
6.1 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 80
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
13.3 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 92
Crude birth rate
6.1 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 16
Crude death rate
13.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 74
Live births
3,282
2024 · EU pctl 73
Deaths
7,141
2024 · EU pctl 87
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.3%
2025 · EU pctl 43
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.19
2024 · EU pctl 19
Population density (persons per km²)
185 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 62
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
480,613
2100 · EU pctl 80
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
322 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
835 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 10 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
222 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 39 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.7 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 54
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
33.6 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 69
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,472 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 81
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
38 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 33 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
2022 · EU pctl 20
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
2022 · EU pctl 14
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 20
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 15
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
2022 · EU pctl 25
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 54
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 19
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
75 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 22
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
55 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 94
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
35 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 25
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
10 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 83
Environment
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
18
2024 · EU pctl 81
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
48
2024 · EU pctl 21
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
118 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 90
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
9.9%
2021 · EU pctl 87
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Italy regions