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ITI16 · ES112

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NUTS-3 ITI16 · Italy
Population
325,7492025
GDP
€10,731M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,222.3 km²
NUTS-3 ES112 · Spain
Population
326,0222025
GDP
€9,407M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
9,869 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lugo (Opportunity 46). Runner-up: Livorno (43). Contrarian pick: Livorno — leads the set on Digital readiness (EU pctl 72).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (94)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Freight intensity (83) · Digital readiness (72)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Lugo
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 11) — Livorno may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsLivorno · ManufacturingLugo · OfficeLugo · ResidentialLivorno.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.0
46.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
38.0
44.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
45.6
55.5
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
79.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
37.3
19.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
23.3
61.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
43.4
53.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
4.6% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.5% 5y
1.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€32,942
€28,852
Population density
267 /km²
33 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€9,640M
€8,584M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€83M
€1,167M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,331M
€1,348M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,021M
€751M
GVA — construction (F)
€523M
€511M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,885M
€2,196M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,000
€17,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
34,100 PPS
32,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€32,900
€29,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€29,682M
€13,447M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€5,009M
€2,235M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€51,756M
€35,979M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,424M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€105M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,696M
€1,555M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,121M
€1,808M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€9,801M
€8,692M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€78,805
€72,609
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,318M
€1,852M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
138,400
138,700
Self-employed persons
32,900
34,700
Employment in manufacturing (C)
12,800
12,800
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.7%
73.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.1%
24.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.3%
8.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
152,700
147,100
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
25,709
23,681
Enterprise births
1,762
1,480
Enterprise deaths
1,443
1,505
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
3.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.8%
43.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
30.8%
53.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.7%
14.7%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.4%
25.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.9%
7.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.6%
96.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
11,376,271
1,887,944
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
744 /1k
611 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,507 kt
19,877 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,538
26
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
40 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
472
8
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
69
81
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
199,308
195,203
Population aged 65+
92,387
98,621
Population aged under 15
34,054
32,198
Median age of population
52.1 yrs
52.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
46.4%
50.5%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.7 /1k
3.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.1 /1k
13.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.3 /1k
4.9 /1k
Crude death rate
13.0 /1k
15.1 /1k
Live births
1,712
1,610
Deaths
4,254
4,913
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.4%
67.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.13
1.03
Population density (persons per km²)
271 /km²
33 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
267,665
199,442
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.1%
22.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.2 yrs
84.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.8%
16.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
285 /100k
317 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
848 /100k
785 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
215 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.2 /100k
0.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
31.8 /100k
13.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
185 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,611 /100k
130 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
51 /M
48 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
286 m
665 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
20 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
14 days/yr