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ITH57 · ITI12

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NUTS-3 ITH57 · Italy
Population
387,2052025
GDP
€14,764M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,857.4 km²
NUTS-3 ITI12 · Italy
Population
381,3902025
GDP
€13,907M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,773.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lucca (Opportunity 59). Runner-up: Ravenna (53). Contrarian pick: Ravenna — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Industrial base (77) · Connectivity (72)
Red flags
Flood: 22% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Strengths
Freight intensity (95) · Economic base (72)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 13 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Lucca
Flood: 22% of population in the 100-year floodplain. Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Ravenna may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsRavenna · ManufacturingRavenna · OfficeLucca · ResidentialRavenna.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
53.2
58.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
54.0
48.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
49.5
54.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
34.7
72.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
34.3
23.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
39.2
56.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.5% 5y
3.8% 5y
Population
0.0% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.4% 5y
9.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€38,129
€36,463
Population density
208 /km²
215 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€13,263M
€12,493M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€484M
€131M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,149M
€3,376M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,768M
€3,087M
GVA — construction (F)
€724M
€832M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,996M
€2,711M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€25,400
€23,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
39,600 PPS
37,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€38,200
€36,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€45,497M
€29,682M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€12,104M
€5,009M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€74,553M
€51,756M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,795M
€1,742M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€185M
€201M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,585M
€3,370M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,324M
€2,075M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€13,354M
€12,702M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€84,449
€83,985
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,510M
€3,004M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
180,100
168,300
Self-employed persons
41,300
44,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
31,900
31,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
74.5%
73.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
17.4%
15.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.1%
4.3%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
184,900
181,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
29,711
35,280
Enterprise births
1,998
2,339
Enterprise deaths
1,697
1,975
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.5%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.1%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.8%
3.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.1%
1.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
25.3%
23.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
36.2%
30.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.1%
11.7%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.2%
17.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.3%
4.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.2%
96.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
7,241,692
5,181,703
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
691 /1k
744 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
12
4,457
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
24,635 kt
9,292 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
1,169
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
31 km/1000km²
23 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
59
38
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
241,587
237,110
Population aged 65+
101,960
103,777
Population aged under 15
43,658
40,503
Median age of population
50.6 yrs
51.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.2%
43.8%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.1 /1k
-1.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.4 /1k
6.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.7 /1k
5.3 /1k
Crude death rate
12.2 /1k
12.6 /1k
Live births
2,210
2,007
Deaths
4,710
4,794
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.3%
60.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.17
1.08
Population density (persons per km²)
216 /km²
218 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
351,675
306,435
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
8.2%
18.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
84.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
6.7%
12.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
369 /100k
285 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
860 /100k
848 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
209 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
25.1 /100k
35.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,322 /100k
1,382 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
61 /M
51 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
6 m
770 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
48 days/yr
5 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
27 days/yr
65 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
27 days/yr