NUTS-3 ITH36 · Italy
Padova
Padova generates €39bn of GDP across 932.3k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 61.6/100 puts it in the upper quartile of EU regions, led by economic scale and market access. Its economy has grown +3.9%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 3.8pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for health (94.5th EU percentile) and weakest for clean environment (14th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Long-run faller83 → 71 EU percentile since 1995 (-13 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Economic base80
Industrial base79
Demographic outlook78
Cost advantage56
Freight intensity54
Resilience50
Growth momentum49
Connectivity47
Energy cost46
Quality of life44
Digital readiness37
Talent & skills27
Labour market23
Governance20
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
61.6
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth48.8
Livability43.7
Market access61
Economic scale93
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
49.5
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability53
Labour stability54
Diversification48
Demographic stability43
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
47
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density16
Airport access64
Market access61
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
27.3
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary24
Lifelong learning67
Knowledge workers10
Scientists & engineers8
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
43.7
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy62
Jobs50
Education22.5
Health94.5
Safety36.7
Connectivity26.5
Environment14
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
48.8
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+3.9%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+3.1%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+0.8 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
+0.2 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
-0.0%
CAGR
Employment rate
+3.8 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
-2.4 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Industry · 27.5%Diversified · HHI 2260
Agriculture 1.4%Industry 27.5%Construction 6.4%Trade · transport · ICT 23.4%Finance · real estate · prof. 26.2%Public · health · education 15.1%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2023
GDP (current prices)
€39,148M2023
7.7% 1y 3.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 93
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€35,264M2025
0.6% 1y 2.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 93
Population
932,2842025
0.1% 1y 0.0% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 93
Unemployment rate
3.4%2025
30.8% 1y 11.3% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 24
Employment
468,5002023
2.0% 1y 0.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 93
Productivity / employee
€85,6942025
1.4% 1y 4.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 55
Gross value added
€35,168M2023
7.8% 1y 4.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 93
All indicators · 87 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€35,168M
2023 · EU pctl 93
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€499M
2023 · EU pctl 88
GVA — industry (B–E)
€9,668M
2023 · EU pctl 96
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€9,075M
2023 · EU pctl 97
GVA — construction (F)
€2,247M
2023 · EU pctl 94
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€8,239M
2023 · EU pctl 92
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€23,500
2024 · EU pctl 44 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
43,600 PPS
2023 · EU pctl 80
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€42,000
2023 · EU pctl 69
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€45,490M
2023 · EU pctl 90 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€10,941M
2023 · EU pctl 94 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€75,959M
2023 · EU pctl 84 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€4,045M
2023 · EU pctl 89
GVA — information & communication (J)
€1,208M
2023 · EU pctl 85
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€9,198M
2023 · EU pctl 93
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€5,316M
2023 · EU pctl 88
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€35,264M
2025 · EU pctl 93
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€85,694
2025 · EU pctl 55
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€9,170M
2025 · EU pctl 93
Labour market
Employment, total persons
468,500
2023 · EU pctl 93
Self-employed persons
109,800
2023 · EU pctl 97
Employment in manufacturing (C)
103,700
2023 · EU pctl 98
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
71.8%
2025 · EU pctl 16 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
13.7%
2025 · EU pctl 48 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.4%
2025 · EU pctl 24
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
440,700
2025 · EU pctl 93
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
84,949
2023 · EU pctl 93
Enterprise births
5,716
2023 · EU pctl 87
Enterprise deaths
4,878
2023 · EU pctl 88
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.6%
2023 · EU pctl 25
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
1.2%
2023 · EU pctl 36 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
3.2%
2025 · EU pctl 21 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
1.4%
2023 · EU pctl 64 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
21.8%
2025 · EU pctl 9 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
33.3%
2025 · EU pctl 24 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
13.3%
2025 · EU pctl 67 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
17.0%
2025 · EU pctl 10 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
5.0%
2025 · EU pctl 8 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
94.5%
2025 · EU pctl 37 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
5,280,130
2025 · EU pctl 88
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
680 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 88 · NUTS-2 src
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
27,591 kt
2025 · EU pctl 94
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
102
CURRENT · EU pctl 24
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
11
CURRENT · EU pctl 16
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²)
40 km/1000km²
2024 · EU pctl 82 · NUTS-2 src
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
42
CURRENT · EU pctl 35
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
CURRENT · EU pctl 75
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
594,259
2025 · EU pctl 93
Population aged 65+
229,714
2025 · EU pctl 94
Population aged under 15
108,311
2025 · EU pctl 89
Median age of population
49.5 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 81
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
38.7%
2025 · EU pctl 62
Crude rate of total population change
0.7 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 49
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.9 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 51
Crude birth rate
6.1 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 16
Crude death rate
10.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 26
Live births
5,677
2024 · EU pctl 89
Deaths
9,549
2024 · EU pctl 94
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.9%
2025 · EU pctl 33
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.15
2024 · EU pctl 14
Population density (persons per km²)
443 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 81
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
849,806
2100 · EU pctl 92
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
307 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 22 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
825 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 8 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
200 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 10 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 48
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
30.1 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 63
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,130 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 69
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
55 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 73 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
2022 · EU pctl 20
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
2022 · EU pctl 14
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 20
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 15
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
2022 · EU pctl 25
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 54
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 19
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
15 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 7
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
45 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 90
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
39 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 29
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
11 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 86
Environment
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
20
2024 · EU pctl 86
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
49
2024 · EU pctl 25
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
158 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 93
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
30.1%
2021 · EU pctl 99
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Italy regions