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NUTS-3 DEB35 · Germany

Mainz, Kreisfreie Stadt

Export region data (CSV)
Opportunity74Momentum68Resilience42Quality of life56vs nearest peer: Freiburg im Breisgau, Stadtkreis

Mainz, Kreisfreie Stadt generates €20bn of GDP across 224.7k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 74.4/100 puts it in the upper quartile of EU regions, led by market access and economic scale. Its economy has grown +10.0%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 3.1pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for economy (86th EU percentile) and weakest for clean environment (29th).

Geometry: GISCO NUTS 2024, EPSG:4326, generalised at 1:3M.
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Enduring leader9898 EU percentile since 1995 (+0 ranks)
255075EU median19952000200520102015202097
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Economic base
98
Labour market
76
Connectivity
73
Growth momentum
68
Talent & skills
58
Quality of life
56
Governance
56
Demographic outlook
50
Resilience
42
Energy cost
36
Freight intensity
30
Air quality
28
Cost advantage
26
Industrial base
26
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
74.4
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth68
Livability56.4
Market access92
Economic scale81
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
41.5
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability0
Labour stability80
Diversification9
Demographic stability77
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
72.7
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density43
Airport access83
Market access92
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
57.5
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary52
Lifelong learning49
Knowledge workers61
Scientists & engineers68
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Clean-Air Score · air-quality livability (experimental)
28.3
/ 100 · higher = cleaner air than more EU regions · 3/3 pollutants
PM2.59.7 µg/m³
PM1015.1 µg/m³
NO220.9 µg/m³
PM2.5, PM10 & NO2 annual means from official monitoring networks, inverted (lower pollution = higher) and EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = cleaner air; ground-level ozone is shown separately. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
56.4
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy86
Jobs67
Education75.5
Health45
Safety49
Connectivity43
Environment29
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
68
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+10.0%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+5.7%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+4.3 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
+5.8 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
+0.6%
CAGR
Employment rate
+3.1 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
0.0 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Finance · real estate · prof. · 38.8%Moderately concentrated · HHI 2723
Agriculture 0.1%Industry 14.5%Construction 1.9%Trade · transport · ICT 20.7%Finance · real estate · prof. 38.8%Public · health · education 23.9%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 20092023
GDP (current prices)
€19,683M2023
25.4% 1y 10.0% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 81
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€16,724M2025
0.2% 1y 5.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 80
Population
224,6842025
0.4% 1y 0.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 45
Unemployment rate
4.0%2025
25.0% 1y 5.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 43
Employment
167,0602023
2.1% 1y 1.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 67
Productivity / employee
€123,4002025
3.3% 1y 9.4% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 94
Gross value added
€17,978M2023
24.4% 1y 10.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 81
All indicators · 84 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€17,978M
2023 · EU pctl 81
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€23M
2023 · EU pctl 12
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,610M
2023 · EU pctl 67
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,083M
2023 · EU pctl 68
GVA — construction (F)
€344M
2023 · EU pctl 38
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,716M
2023 · EU pctl 80
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€27,700
2023 · EU pctl 74 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
78,700 PPS
2023 · EU pctl 98
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€88,400
2023 · EU pctl 98
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€20,699M
2023 · EU pctl 65 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€4,472M
2023 · EU pctl 80 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€49,098M
2023 · EU pctl 68 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€6,982M
2023 · EU pctl 90
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€4,303M
2023 · EU pctl 83
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€16,724M
2025 · EU pctl 80
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€123,400
2025 · EU pctl 94
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,230M
2025 · EU pctl 80
Labour market
Employment, total persons
167,060
2023 · EU pctl 67
Self-employed persons
9,940
2023 · EU pctl 35
Employment in manufacturing (C)
10,700
2023 · EU pctl 31
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
81.3%
2025 · EU pctl 74 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
6.4%
2019 · EU pctl 12 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.0%
2025 · EU pctl 43
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
133,600
2025 · EU pctl 53
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
8,341
2023 · EU pctl 34
Enterprise births
722
2023 · EU pctl 36
Enterprise deaths
734
2023 · EU pctl 40
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.3%
2023 · EU pctl 48
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
5.3%
2023 · EU pctl 94 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
6.4%
2025 · EU pctl 82 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
2.1%
2023 · EU pctl 83 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
36.8%
2025 · EU pctl 57 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
41.9%
2025 · EU pctl 52 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
10.1%
2025 · EU pctl 49 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
25.1%
2025 · EU pctl 61 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
9.8%
2025 · EU pctl 68 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,159,125
2024 · EU pctl 56
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
621 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 64 · NUTS-2 src
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
759
CURRENT · EU pctl 45
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,611 kt
2025 · EU pctl 34
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
338
CURRENT · EU pctl 43
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
22
CURRENT · EU pctl 17
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
CURRENT · EU pctl 50
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
156,299
2025 · EU pctl 49
Population aged 65+
40,470
2025 · EU pctl 34
Population aged under 15
27,915
2025 · EU pctl 42
Median age of population
38.7 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 2
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
25.9%
2025 · EU pctl 4
Crude rate of total population change
3.6 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 68
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
3.6 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 39
Crude birth rate
8.9 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 80
Crude death rate
8.9 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 11
Live births
2,005
2024 · EU pctl 53
Deaths
2,003
2024 · EU pctl 32
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
43.8%
2025 · EU pctl 1
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.09
2024 · EU pctl 8
Population density (persons per km²)
2,361 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 97
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
203,053
2100 · EU pctl 47
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE)
23.2%
2025 · EU pctl 67 · NUTS-2 src
Life expectancy at birth
81.2 yrs
2024 · EU pctl 39 · NUTS-2 src
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional)
16.8%
2025 · EU pctl 59 · NUTS-2 src
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
1,015 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 49 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
231 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 53 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 63
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
44.2 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 79
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
259 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 59
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,473 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 81
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
25 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 9 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
2022 · EU pctl 59
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
2022 · EU pctl 56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
2022 · EU pctl 54
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
2022 · EU pctl 57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
2022 · EU pctl 34
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 64
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 53
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
153 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 40
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
16 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 72
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
51 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 42
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 33
Environment
PM10 (coarse particulate matter) annual mean concentration — mean across EEA air-quality monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
15
2024 · EU pctl 55
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
21
2024 · EU pctl 89
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
45
2024 · EU pctl 9
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
18.0 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 34
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
3.0%
2021 · EU pctl 50
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