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ES425 · ES522

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NUTS-3 ES425 · Spain
Population
755,0812025
GDP
€17,074M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
70.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
15,377.6 km²
NUTS-3 ES522 · Spain
Population
627,6202025
GDP
€17,662M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
11.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
70.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,646.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Toledo (Opportunity 61). Runner-up: Castellón/Castelló (55). Contrarian pick: Castellón/Castelló — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 99).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (93)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Freight intensity (99) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Toledo
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Labour market (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 9) — Castellón/Castelló may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsToledo · ManufacturingCastellón/Castelló · OfficeCastellón/Castelló · ResidentialCastellón/Castelló.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
61.2
54.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
56.5
51.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
42.9
56.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
43.0
83.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
27.7
22.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
45.3
60.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
79.8
62.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.9% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
1.4% 5y
1.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.7% 5y
4.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€22,612
€28,141
Population density
49 /km²
94 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€15,518M
€16,117M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€793M
€599M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,686M
€4,318M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,798M
€3,949M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,172M
€866M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,102M
€4,035M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€15,800
€16,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
26,000 PPS
32,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€23,200
€29,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,963M
€25,331M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,892M
€4,983M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€23,774M
€70,224M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,956M
€3,435M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,809M
€2,864M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€15,208M
€16,561M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€70,998
€73,535
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,672M
€3,634M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
259,700
258,200
Self-employed persons
47,600
38,900
Employment in manufacturing (C)
40,300
45,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
74.4%
74.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
27.6%
30.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
12.8%
11.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
378,900
315,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
47,358
42,255
Enterprise births
4,081
3,604
Enterprise deaths
3,754
3,007
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
4.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.6%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
3.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.4%
1.0%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
33.3%
38.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
47.4%
53.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
14.0%
18.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.8%
22.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.6%
7.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.3%
98.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,970,951
7,911,112
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
599 /1k
510 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
42,853 kt
60,988 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
121
933
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
50 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
16
149
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
90
92
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
501,777
415,765
Population aged 65+
141,782
127,565
Population aged under 15
111,522
84,290
Median age of population
44.3 yrs
45.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
28.3%
30.7%
Crude rate of total population change
15.9 /1k
20.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
17.1 /1k
22.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.0 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
8.2 /1k
8.9 /1k
Live births
5,256
4,168
Deaths
6,134
5,517
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
50.5%
51.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.23
1.19
Population density (persons per km²)
49 /km²
94 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
487,265
444,591
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
34.0%
30.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.9 yrs
83.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
25.9%
26.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
236 /100k
219 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
837 /100k
900 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
206 /100k
213 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
51.8 /100k
77.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
453 /100k
428 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
247 /100k
318 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
30 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
639 m
528 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
76 days/yr
22 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
16 days/yr
10 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
5 days/yr