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PT11D · FRJ24

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NUTS-3 PT11D · Portugal
Population
183,8672025
GDP
€3,781M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,041.7 km²
NUTS-3 FRJ24 · France
Population
192,4422025
GDP
€5,100M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.3%2025
Active firms
59,4632026
Cadastral parcels
868,1152026
Area
6,307.5 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Gers (Opportunity 39). Runner-up: Douro (38). Contrarian pick: Douro — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Air quality (97) · Talent & skills (92)
No red flags
Strengths
Air quality (94) · Energy cost (90)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Gers
Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 19) — Douro may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Gers leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
38.4
38.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
49.3
64.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
49.4
60.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
94.0
97.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
15.3
29.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
63.0
91.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
61.2
31.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.3% 5y
1.4% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.5% 5y
3.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€20,566
€26,503
Population density
45 /km²
31 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
4,511
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
309

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,288M
€4,543M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€203M
€262M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€634M
€554M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€206M
€458M
GVA — construction (F)
€149M
€312M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€623M
€697M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€13,800
€23,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
25,000 PPS
24,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€20,500
€26,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€16,004M
€27,134M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,831M
€3,274M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€39,066M
€63,709M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€307M
€688M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€28M
€34M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€550M
€1,172M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€865M
€1,546M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,214M
€4,602M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€45,363
€70,624
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€809M
€1,137M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
85,990
73,600
Self-employed persons
25,680
14,400
Employment in manufacturing (C)
5,960
6,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.8%
76.9%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
18.4%
15.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.3%
6.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
89,400
83,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
18,510
16,386
Enterprise births
2,356
1,866
Enterprise deaths
2,055
1,558
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
5.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
4.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.4%
7.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
2.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
29.8%
47.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
41.3%
56.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.7%
18.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.3%
33.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
10.5%
14.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
88.8%
95.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
728,479
783,681
Mobility
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
19
309
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
690 kt
3,281 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
10
161
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
14 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
116
78
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
109,869
108,056
Population aged 65+
55,658
57,183
Population aged under 15
18,340
27,203
Median age of population
52.3 yrs
51.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
50.7%
52.9%
Crude rate of total population change
5.6 /1k
-0.5 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
14.7 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.2 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude death rate
14.3 /1k
13.4 /1k
Live births
952
1,243
Deaths
2,624
2,587
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
67.4%
78.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.07
1.50
Population density (persons per km²)
46 /km²
31 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
101,313
159,593
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.7%
23.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.1 yrs
83.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
15.6%
18.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
327 /100k
564 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
914 /100k
780 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
211 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
17.9 /100k
13.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
79.8 /100k
562 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
347 /100k
984 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
60 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.02
1.46
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.81
1.27
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.13
1.02
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.79
1.39
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.89
0.02
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
587 m
201 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
45 days/yr
26 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
25 days/yr
18 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
5 days/yr