NUTS-3 PT11D · Portugal
Douro
Douro generates €3.8bn of GDP across 183.9k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 38.4/100 sits in the lower tier of EU regions, led by economic growth and livability. Its economy has grown +5.6%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 4.4pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for clean environment (94.5th EU percentile) and weakest for digital connectivity (11th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Persistent laggard19 → 19 EU percentile since 1995 (+1 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Air quality94
Energy cost90
Cost advantage80
Talent & skills63
Growth momentum61
Quality of life49
Resilience49
Labour market46
Governance37
Economic base22
Connectivity15
Demographic outlook14
Industrial base10
Digital readiness6
Freight intensity1
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
38.4
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth61.2
Livability49.4
Market access21
Economic scale22
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
49.3
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability54
Labour stability12
Diversification97
Demographic stability34
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
15.3
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density16
Airport access9
Market access21
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
63
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary50
Lifelong learning76
Knowledge workers52
Scientists & engineers74
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Clean-Air Score · air-quality livability (experimental)
94
/ 100 · higher = cleaner air than more EU regions · 2/3 pollutants
PM2.5—
PM109.5 µg/m³
NO24.6 µg/m³
PM2.5, PM10 & NO2 annual means from official monitoring networks, inverted (lower pollution = higher) and EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = cleaner air; ground-level ozone is shown separately. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
49.4
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy21
Jobs38.5
Education46.5
Health75.5
Safety58.7
Connectivity11
Environment94.5
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
61.2
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+5.6%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+4.8%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+0.8 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
-0.3 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
-0.2%
CAGR
Employment rate
+4.4 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
-0.6 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Public · health · education · 26.3%Diversified · HHI 1760
Agriculture 6.2%Industry 19.3%Construction 4.5%Trade · transport · ICT 19%Finance · real estate · prof. 16.7%Public · health · education 26.3%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2024
GDP (current prices)
€3,781M2024
9.0% 1y 5.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 22
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€3,214M2025
1.9% 1y 3.3% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 23
Population
183,8672025
0.2% 1y 0.2% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 38
Unemployment rate
6.3%2025
3.1% 1y 1.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 70
Employment
85,9902023
0.1% 1y 0.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 39
Productivity / employee
€45,3632025
3.5% 1y 7.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 15
Gross value added
€3,288M2024
8.8% 1y 5.7% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 20
All indicators · 87 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,288M
2024 · EU pctl 20
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€203M
2023 · EU pctl 61
GVA — industry (B–E)
€634M
2023 · EU pctl 19
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€206M
2023 · EU pctl 8
GVA — construction (F)
€149M
2023 · EU pctl 13
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€623M
2023 · EU pctl 21
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€13,800
2023 · EU pctl 20 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
25,000 PPS
2024 · EU pctl 22
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€20,500
2024 · EU pctl 20
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€16,004M
2023 · EU pctl 56 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€3,831M
2023 · EU pctl 77 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€39,066M
2023 · EU pctl 58 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€307M
2023 · EU pctl 20
GVA — information & communication (J)
€28M
2023 · EU pctl 18
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€550M
2023 · EU pctl 17
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€865M
2023 · EU pctl 26
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,214M
2025 · EU pctl 23
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€45,363
2025 · EU pctl 15
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€809M
2025 · EU pctl 20
Labour market
Employment, total persons
85,990
2023 · EU pctl 39
Self-employed persons
25,680
2023 · EU pctl 65
Employment in manufacturing (C)
5,960
2023 · EU pctl 15
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
77.8%
2025 · EU pctl 51 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
18.4%
2025 · EU pctl 65 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.3%
2025 · EU pctl 70
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
89,400
2025 · EU pctl 36
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
18,510
2023 · EU pctl 58
Enterprise births
2,356
2023 · EU pctl 68
Enterprise deaths
2,055
2023 · EU pctl 70
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
2023 · EU pctl 71
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
2.0%
2024 · EU pctl 66 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
4.4%
2025 · EU pctl 51 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
1.6%
2024 · EU pctl 73 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
29.8%
2025 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
41.3%
2025 · EU pctl 50 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
15.7%
2025 · EU pctl 76 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
23.3%
2025 · EU pctl 52 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
10.5%
2025 · EU pctl 74 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
88.8%
2025 · EU pctl 6 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
728,479
2025 · EU pctl 43
Mobility
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
690 kt
2025 · EU pctl 2
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
19
CURRENT · EU pctl 11
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
10
CURRENT · EU pctl 16
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
116
CURRENT · EU pctl 91
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
CURRENT · EU pctl 0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
109,869
2025 · EU pctl 36
Population aged 65+
55,658
2025 · EU pctl 47
Population aged under 15
18,340
2025 · EU pctl 25
Median age of population
52.3 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 95
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
50.7%
2025 · EU pctl 95
Crude rate of total population change
5.6 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 77
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
14.7 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 93
Crude birth rate
5.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 4
Crude death rate
14.3 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 84
Live births
952
2024 · EU pctl 23
Deaths
2,624
2024 · EU pctl 44
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
67.4%
2025 · EU pctl 86
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.07
2024 · EU pctl 6
Population density (persons per km²)
46 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 15
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
101,313
2100 · EU pctl 19
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
327 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 29 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
914 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
207 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 18 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 41
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
17.9 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 43
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
79.8 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 14
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
347 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 22
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
50 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 61 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.02
2022 · EU pctl 32
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.81
2022 · EU pctl 32
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.13
2022 · EU pctl 46
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.79
2022 · EU pctl 37
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.89
2022 · EU pctl 91
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 10
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 11
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
587 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 86
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
45 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 90
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
25 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 18
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 72
Environment
PM10 (coarse particulate matter) annual mean concentration — mean across EEA air-quality monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
10
2024 · EU pctl 4
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
5
2024 · EU pctl 7
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
80
2024 · EU pctl 98
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
3.0 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 3
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
2.5%
2021 · EU pctl 44
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Portugal regions