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PL638 · PL217

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NUTS-3 PL638 · Poland
Population
396,6862025
GDP
€5,862M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,115.6 km²
NUTS-3 PL217 · Poland
Population
421,3042025
GDP
€5,169M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,602.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Starogardzki (Opportunity 40). Runner-up: Tarnowski (38). Contrarian pick: Tarnowski — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 91).

Strengths
Industrial base (92) · Cost advantage (90)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (91) · Demographic outlook (87)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Starogardzki
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 11) — Tarnowski may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsStarogardzki · ManufacturingStarogardzki · OfficeTarnowski · ResidentialStarogardzki.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
40.4
37.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
25.5
30.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
47.2
43.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
50.0
12.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
27.0
30.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
72.0
74.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
58.2
47.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.1% 5y
1.7% 5y
Population
1.3% 5y
1.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.6% 5y
2.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€14,777
€12,268
Population density
96 /km²
162 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,297M
€4,670M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€272M
€121M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,935M
€1,101M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,772M
€824M
GVA — construction (F)
€430M
€518M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,003M
€1,098M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,000
€10,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
21,300 PPS
17,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€14,400
€12,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€8,238M
€10,024M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,560M
€1,652M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€17,730M
€26,117M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€695M
€710M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€961M
€1,122M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,037M
€4,442M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€45,773
€39,740
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,257M
€1,002M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
157,800
159,500
Self-employed persons
33,800
38,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
43,600
31,300
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.5%
73.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
7.3%
11.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.7%
2.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
198,600
199,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
22,712
25,958
Enterprise births
2,595
2,834
Enterprise deaths
3,082
3,227
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.2%
5.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.3%
2.7%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.7%
6.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.3%
1.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
43.6%
41.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
48.8%
48.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.1%
9.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
32.0%
31.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
11.7%
11.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
95.7%
97.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
310,070
190,459
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
600 /1k
588 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
16,230 kt
19,418 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
46
986
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
4 km/1000km²
10 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
12
234
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
59
79
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
258,067
271,613
Population aged 65+
76,889
84,972
Population aged under 15
61,730
64,719
Median age of population
42.6 yrs
43.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
29.8%
31.3%
Crude rate of total population change
-5.6 /1k
-4.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-1.7 /1k
-0.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.8 /1k
7.2 /1k
Crude death rate
10.6 /1k
10.3 /1k
Live births
2,696
3,043
Deaths
4,227
4,359
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
53.7%
55.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.16
1.21
Population density (persons per km²)
99 /km²
164 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
299,457
355,690
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.8%
14.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
78.7 yrs
79.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.5%
13.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
470 /100k
617 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,427 /100k
1,376 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
290 /100k
278 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
9.8 /100k
10.9 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
196 /100k
100 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
195 /100k
125 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
35 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
10 m
188 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
11 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
80 days/yr
82 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
4 days/yr