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PL621 · RO421

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NUTS-3 PL621 · Poland
Population
472,6722025
GDP
€6,533M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,331.7 km²
NUTS-3 RO421 · Romania
Population
410,3202025
GDP
€6,825M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
66.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,755.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Elbląski (Opportunity 37). Runner-up: Arad (33). Contrarian pick: Arad — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 94).

Strengths
Cost advantage (92) · Industrial base (88)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (94) · Industrial base (76)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Flood: 21% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Why you might not pick Elbląski
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 8) — Arad may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsElbląski · ManufacturingElbląski · OfficeArad · ResidentialElbląski.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
36.9
33.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
27.5
49.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
30.7
26.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
28.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
19.3
24.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
21.8
33.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
55.0
49.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
3.3% 5y
Population
1.7% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.9% 5y
2.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€13,822
€16,634
Population density
64 /km²
53 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,903M
€6,185M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€405M
€302M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,951M
€1,828M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,761M
€1,514M
GVA — construction (F)
€405M
€488M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,222M
€1,494M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€10,600
€9,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
19,900 PPS
27,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€13,500
€16,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€3,635M
€5,950M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€684M
€880M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€7,205M
€11,679M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€477M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€98M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€761M
€982M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,160M
€1,090M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,701M
€5,307M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€38,886
€44,089
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,500M
€1,466M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
206,300
172,330
Self-employed persons
38,300
15,320
Employment in manufacturing (C)
53,500
62,170
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.9%
64.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
17.5%
31.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.3%
5.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
220,300
169,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
26,699
24,186
Enterprise births
2,906
2,580
Enterprise deaths
3,647
1,599
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.6%
5.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.0%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.0%
6.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.5%
0.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.4%
19.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
33.5%
17.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
5.8%
10.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
20.0%
18.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.9%
9.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.4%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
689,258
333,970
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
597 /1k
476 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
18,375 kt
11,766 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
423
136
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
8 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
90
33
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
110
69
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
304,142
264,632
Population aged 65+
100,187
83,348
Population aged under 15
68,343
62,340
Median age of population
44.0 yrs
44.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.9%
31.5%
Crude rate of total population change
-7.4 /1k
-1.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-2.4 /1k
4.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.3 /1k
7.3 /1k
Crude death rate
11.3 /1k
13.6 /1k
Live births
3,012
3,010
Deaths
5,377
5,589
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
55.4%
55.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.14
1.37
Population density (persons per km²)
67 /km²
53 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
307,481
286,007
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.6%
20.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
77.9 yrs
76.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
18.0%
11.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
584 /100k
805 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,595 /100k
1,939 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
255 /100k
249 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.2 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.6 /100k
9.0 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
226 /100k
151 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
216 /100k
313 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
63 /M
68 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.20
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.39
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.44
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.07
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.55
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.155/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.051/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
107 m
192 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
3 days/yr
19 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
87 days/yr
60 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
4 days/yr