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PL415 · PL633

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NUTS-3 PL415 · Poland
Population
532,8872025
GDP
€21,647M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
261.3 km²
NUTS-3 PL633 · Poland
Population
743,6812025
GDP
€23,224M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
418.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Trójmiejski (Opportunity 56). Runner-up: Miasto Poznań (55). Contrarian pick: Miasto Poznań — leads the set on Economic base (EU pctl 93).

Strengths
Freight intensity (93) · Cost advantage (90)
Red flags
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Economic base (93) · Cost advantage (85)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Trójmiejski
Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 14) — Miasto Poznań may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Trójmiejski leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
55.0
55.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
26.8
23.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
45.4
49.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
17.7
27.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
56.0
52.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
35.5
72.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
60.6
70.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.6% 5y
6.5% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
14.9% 5y
3.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€40,623
€31,229
Population density
2,040 /km²
1,776 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€19,560M
€20,985M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€15M
€14M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,155M
€5,102M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,211M
€4,159M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,053M
€1,411M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€7,387M
€7,059M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,800
€11,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
57,100 PPS
44,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€38,700
€30,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€12,125M
€8,238M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,853M
€1,560M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€27,656M
€17,730M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€4,760M
€4,263M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,190M
€3,135M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€18,682M
€19,955M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€70,123
€58,994
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,168M
€4,980M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
380,700
485,100
Self-employed persons
65,300
88,900
Employment in manufacturing (C)
46,200
53,300
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.0%
76.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
8.7%
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.8%
2.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
265,500
365,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
68,479
83,371
Enterprise births
8,446
11,365
Enterprise deaths
7,644
10,041
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
5.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
2.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.9%
6.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
1.3%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
34.7%
43.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.1%
48.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.4%
9.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.8%
32.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.2%
11.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.8%
95.7%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,487,123
4,846,119
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
667 /1k
600 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
6,800 kt
42,496 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,515
2,196
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
7 km/1000km²
4 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
284
295
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
7
8
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
347,665
475,285
Population aged 65+
115,280
166,711
Population aged under 15
69,942
101,685
Median age of population
42.0 yrs
43.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
33.2%
35.1%
Crude rate of total population change
-3.2 /1k
-0.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-0.1 /1k
3.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.5 /1k
7.3 /1k
Crude death rate
10.6 /1k
10.7 /1k
Live births
3,999
5,457
Deaths
5,674
7,987
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
53.3%
56.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
0.93
0.99
Population density (persons per km²)
2,077 /km²
1,855 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
327,740
627,946
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
17.0%
16.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
78.5 yrs
78.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
15.4%
13.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
446 /100k
470 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,508 /100k
1,427 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
284 /100k
290 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.2 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.0 /100k
9.9 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
157 /100k
302 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
523 /100k
482 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
62 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
84 m
144 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
10 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
74 days/yr
75 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
2 days/yr