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LV005 · RO422

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NUTS-3 LV005 · Latvia
Population
239,3622025
GDP
€2,822M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
14,541.4 km²
NUTS-3 RO422 · Romania
Population
242,2322025
GDP
€3,655M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
66.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
8,527 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Caraş-Severin (Opportunity 26). Runner-up: Latgale (24). Contrarian pick: Latgale — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 73).

Strengths
Cost advantage (94) · Digital readiness (60)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (84) · Energy cost (73)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Caraş-Severin
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 2) — Latgale may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Caraş-Severin leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
24.4
25.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
17.5
39.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
30.5
28.3
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
24.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
32.7
17.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
56.8
33.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
52.2
46.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.5% 5y
4.6% 5y
Population
1.4% 5y
2.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.9% 5y
2.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€11,791
€15,091
Population density
16 /km²
28 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€2,482M
€3,312M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€150M
€174M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€568M
€483M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€435M
€413M
GVA — construction (F)
€121M
€252M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€514M
€1,107M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€12,000
€9,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
14,700 PPS
24,900 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€11,500
€15,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,718M
€5,950M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,006M
€880M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€21,296M
€11,679M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€205M
€407M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€44M
€19M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€321M
€608M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€808M
€688M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,301M
€2,842M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€30,102
€57,394
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€721M
€785M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
104,030
70,900
Self-employed persons
17,850
9,580
Employment in manufacturing (C)
13,800
15,490
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.6%
64.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
14.8%
31.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.9%
5.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
122,700
96,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
10,893
8,670
Enterprise births
1,411
874
Enterprise deaths
777
561
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.1%
5.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.9%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
5.3%
6.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
40.7%
19.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
44.7%
17.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.4%
10.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
24.8%
18.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.0%
9.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.1%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
203,474
633,964
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
424 /1k
476 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2,696
100
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,315 kt
1,678 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1,126
41
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
8 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
212
94
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
150,542
151,098
Population aged 65+
58,456
59,186
Population aged under 15
30,364
31,948
Median age of population
48.9 yrs
47.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
38.8%
39.2%
Crude rate of total population change
-16.7 /1k
-6.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-5.4 /1k
2.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.9 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude death rate
17.2 /1k
14.6 /1k
Live births
1,427
1,549
Deaths
4,161
3,546
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
60.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.25
1.33
Population density (persons per km²)
17 /km²
29 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
101,556
122,507
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.7%
20.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
76.4 yrs
76.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
22.0%
11.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
805 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,728 /100k
1,939 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
278 /100k
249 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
5.8 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
10.7 /100k
6.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
181 /100k
154 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
643 /100k
163 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
60 /M
68 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.73
0.20
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.39
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.01
0.44
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.82
0.07
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.78
0.55
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.114/kWh
€0.155/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.050/kWh
€0.051/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
159 m
1,297 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
0 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
128 days/yr
146 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
9 days/yr