NUTS-3 ITI16 · Italy
Population
325,7492025
GDP
€10,731M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
1,222.3 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
ITI16 · ITH56
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Ferrara (Opportunity 49). Runner-up: Livorno (43). Contrarian pick: Livorno — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 83).
#1Ferrara
Strengths
Digital readiness (64) · Industrial base (58)
Red flags
Flood: 36% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Long-run slide: down 31 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Ferrara
Flood: 36% of population in the 100-year floodplain; Long-run slide: down 31 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Livorno may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Ferrara leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
- Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.0
49.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
38.0
47.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
45.6
48.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
37.3
37.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
23.3
34.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
43.4
32.2
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
1.4% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.5% 5y
9.9% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€32,942
€30,181
Population density
267 /km²
129 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€9,640M
€9,208M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€83M
€314M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,331M
€2,027M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,021M
€1,749M
GVA — construction (F)
€523M
€484M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,885M
€1,743M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,000
€25,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
34,100 PPS
31,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€32,900
€30,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€29,682M
€45,497M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€5,009M
€12,104M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€51,756M
€74,553M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,424M
€1,459M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€105M
€113M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,696M
€2,762M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,121M
€1,875M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€9,801M
€9,271M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€78,805
€78,799
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,318M
€2,437M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
138,400
134,000
Self-employed persons
32,900
33,400
Employment in manufacturing (C)
12,800
21,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.7%
74.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.1%
17.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.3%
4.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
152,700
157,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
25,709
24,017
Enterprise births
1,762
1,673
Enterprise deaths
1,443
1,349
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
2.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
3.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
2.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.8%
25.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
30.8%
36.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.7%
13.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.4%
19.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.9%
5.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.6%
96.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
11,376,271
2,929,436
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
744 /1k
691 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,538
2
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,507 kt
6,842 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
472
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
31 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
69
50
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
199,308
206,324
Population aged 65+
92,387
98,959
Population aged under 15
34,054
34,329
Median age of population
52.1 yrs
52.5 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
46.4%
48.0%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.7 /1k
-0.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.1 /1k
8.8 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.3 /1k
5.1 /1k
Crude death rate
13.0 /1k
14.0 /1k
Live births
1,712
1,723
Deaths
4,254
4,749
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.4%
64.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.13
1.11
Population density (persons per km²)
271 /km²
139 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
267,665
272,864
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.1%
8.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.2 yrs
84.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.8%
6.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
285 /100k
369 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
848 /100k
860 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.2 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
31.8 /100k
34.2 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,611 /100k
1,358 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
51 /M
61 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
286 m
0 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
55 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
30 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
6 days/yr