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ITH58 · ITH57

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NUTS-3 ITH58 · Italy
Population
393,3672025
GDP
€15,610M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,374.5 km²
NUTS-3 ITH57 · Italy
Population
387,2052025
GDP
€14,764M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,857.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Forlì-Cesena (Opportunity 55). Runner-up: Ravenna (53). Contrarian pick: Ravenna — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (80) · Economic base (76)
No red flags
Strengths
Freight intensity (95) · Economic base (72)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 13 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Forlì-Cesena
Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Ravenna may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsRavenna · ManufacturingRavenna · OfficeForlì-Cesena · ResidentialForlì-Cesena.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
54.6
53.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
58.0
54.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
50.9
49.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
38.3
34.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
34.3
34.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
43.4
39.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.6% 5y
2.5% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.0% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.0% 5y
9.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€39,683
€38,129
Population density
166 /km²
208 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€14,023M
€13,263M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€567M
€484M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,497M
€3,149M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,078M
€2,768M
GVA — construction (F)
€893M
€724M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,133M
€2,996M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€25,400
€25,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
41,300 PPS
39,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€39,800
€38,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€45,497M
€45,497M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€12,104M
€12,104M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€74,553M
€74,553M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€2,016M
€1,795M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€207M
€185M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,722M
€3,585M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,210M
€2,324M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€14,119M
€13,354M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€83,708
€84,449
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,711M
€3,510M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
192,100
180,100
Self-employed persons
45,200
41,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
37,700
31,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
74.5%
74.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
17.4%
17.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.1%
4.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
188,800
184,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
33,277
29,711
Enterprise births
2,117
1,998
Enterprise deaths
1,891
1,697
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.7%
3.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.1%
2.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.8%
3.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.1%
2.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
25.3%
25.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
36.2%
36.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.1%
13.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.2%
19.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.3%
5.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.2%
96.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
5,803,947
7,241,692
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
691 /1k
691 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
8
12
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
9,712 kt
24,635 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
3
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
31 km/1000km²
31 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
46
59
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
246,581
241,587
Population aged 65+
100,393
101,960
Population aged under 15
46,393
43,658
Median age of population
49.6 yrs
50.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.7%
42.2%
Crude rate of total population change
1.4 /1k
-0.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.6 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.9 /1k
5.7 /1k
Crude death rate
11.2 /1k
12.2 /1k
Live births
2,335
2,210
Deaths
4,383
4,710
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.5%
60.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.17
1.17
Population density (persons per km²)
165 /km²
216 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
388,360
351,675
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
8.2%
8.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
84.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
6.7%
6.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
369 /100k
369 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
860 /100k
860 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
35.5 /100k
25.1 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,124 /100k
1,322 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
61 /M
61 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
363 m
6 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
35 days/yr
48 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
30 days/yr
27 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
10 days/yr
6 days/yr