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ITG2H · ITI22

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NUTS-3 ITG2H · Italy
Population
329,5562025
GDP
€6,485M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
62.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,534.3 km²
NUTS-3 ITI22 · Italy
Population
215,2852025
GDP
€6,313M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,128 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Terni (Opportunity 42). Runner-up: Sud Sardegna (33). Contrarian pick: Sud Sardegna — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 67).

Strengths
Cost advantage (63) · Energy cost (46)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (67) · Connectivity (46)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Terni
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Sud Sardegna may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Terni leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
33.4
42.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
44.3
42.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
38.5
42.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
46.3
42.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
19.5
28.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
45.2
41.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
3.2% 5y
Population
0.9% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.5% 5y
7.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€19,679
€29,323
Population density
50 /km²
101 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,826M
€5,671M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€491M
€189M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€598M
€1,133M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€396M
€879M
GVA — construction (F)
€414M
€402M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,232M
€1,306M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,900
€21,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
20,200 PPS
30,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€19,500
€29,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€10,118M
€6,687M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€512M
€1,149M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€16,391M
€10,415M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€982M
€675M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€28M
€126M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,468M
€1,389M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,626M
€1,252M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,070M
€5,758M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€67,169
€72,456
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,594M
€1,596M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
99,300
88,100
Self-employed persons
27,500
22,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
7,500
11,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
64.4%
72.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.6%
18.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
9.2%
4.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
135,300
98,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
17,500
16,326
Enterprise births
1,249
1,161
Enterprise deaths
1,008
903
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.5%
4.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
0.9%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
1.7%
2.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
0.9%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
18.4%
25.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
23.8%
33.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
12.7%
13.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.3%
18.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.2%
4.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.3%
93.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,229,739
1,114,822
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
719 /1k
774 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,726 kt
5,731 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,295
78
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
393
36
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
12 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
24
50
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
201,707
130,531
Population aged 65+
97,615
62,659
Population aged under 15
30,234
22,095
Median age of population
52.9 yrs
52.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
48.4%
48.0%
Crude rate of total population change
-6.8 /1k
-2.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.1 /1k
6.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
4.2 /1k
5.2 /1k
Crude death rate
13.1 /1k
13.8 /1k
Live births
1,378
1,130
Deaths
4,344
2,979
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.4%
64.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
0.89
1.11
Population density (persons per km²)
102 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
153,226
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
29.7%
13.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.2 yrs
84.1 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
26.1%
11.3%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
293 /100k
306 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
857 /100k
839 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
224 /100k
208 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
17.0 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
813 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
72 /M
73 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
55 m
381 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
88 days/yr
51 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
23 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
11 days/yr