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ITC42 · ITH20

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NUTS-3 ITC42 · Italy
Population
598,1912025
GDP
€20,868M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,280.5 km²
NUTS-3 ITH20 · Italy
Population
546,5732025
GDP
€25,457M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,222.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Trento (Opportunity 65). Runner-up: Como (64). Contrarian pick: Como — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 77).

Strengths
Economic base (87) · Demographic outlook (87)
No red flags
Strengths
Demographic outlook (77) · Industrial base (77)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 33 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Trento
Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Como may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Trento leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
63.5
65.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
42.0
59.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
48.1
54.4
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
51.7
40.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
29.5
28.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
44.0
56.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.4% 5y
2.7% 5y
Population
0.0% 5y
0.0% 5y
Unemployment rate
11.7% 5y
16.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€34,886
€46,575
Population density
467 /km²
88 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€18,747M
€22,869M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€174M
€950M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€4,869M
€4,147M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€4,615M
€3,277M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,113M
€1,459M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,857M
€5,155M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€26,600
€23,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
36,200 PPS
48,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€34,900
€46,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€101,220M
€6,222M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€19,922M
€888M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€188,904M
€8,950M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€2,700M
€2,687M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€265M
€481M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€5,841M
€6,507M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,892M
€4,651M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€19,002M
€22,581M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€87,780
€93,994
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,372M
€6,319M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
244,900
274,000
Self-employed persons
57,700
62,000
Employment in manufacturing (C)
52,800
35,400
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.7%
73.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
10.9%
9.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
2.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
279,000
259,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
46,449
42,621
Enterprise births
3,439
2,980
Enterprise deaths
2,663
2,275
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.5%
3.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
5.3%
3.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
2.0%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.6%
23.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
34.0%
33.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.8%
14.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.7%
17.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.2%
3.8%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
97.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
5,206,242
22,669,069
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
640 /1k
1,610 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
74
1,074
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,886 kt
19,859 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
12
197
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
32 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
48
80
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
380,506
344,521
Population aged 65+
146,410
131,662
Population aged under 15
71,275
70,390
Median age of population
49.1 yrs
48.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
38.5%
38.2%
Crude rate of total population change
0.4 /1k
2.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.5 /1k
5.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.2 /1k
6.9 /1k
Crude death rate
10.3 /1k
9.6 /1k
Live births
3,731
3,748
Deaths
6,189
5,221
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
57.2%
58.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.18
1.27
Population density (persons per km²)
514 /km²
89 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
537,477
566,553
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
12.5%
10.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.4 yrs
85.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
9.2%
8.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
322 /100k
359 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
835 /100k
779 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
222 /100k
199 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.3 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
29.1 /100k
16.8 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
851 /100k
775 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
38 /M
70 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
197 m
192 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
14 days/yr
28 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
8 days/yr
23 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
25 days/yr
13 days/yr