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DE409 · DE932

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NUTS-3 DE409 · Germany
Population
197,8172025
GDP
€5,424M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,156.5 km²
NUTS-3 DE932 · Germany
Population
198,8422025
GDP
€6,362M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,061.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Cuxhaven (Opportunity 56). Runner-up: Märkisch-Oderland (48). Contrarian pick: Märkisch-Oderland — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 68).

Strengths
Air quality (81) · Labour market (72)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Labour market (70) · Freight intensity (68)
Red flags
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 14 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Cuxhaven
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 13) — Märkisch-Oderland may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsMärkisch-Oderland · ManufacturingCuxhaven · OfficeCuxhaven · ResidentialCuxhaven.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
48.1
56.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
63.0
66.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.6
61.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
66.7
80.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
59.3
66.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
27.0
30.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
51.8
59.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.5% 5y
0.9% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.5% 5y
4.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€27,417
€31,997
Population density
92 /km²
96 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,954M
€5,811M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€131M
€463M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€770M
€1,033M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€364M
€590M
GVA — construction (F)
€517M
€479M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€933M
€965M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€26,000
€28,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
24,500 PPS
28,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€27,500
€31,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€23,042M
€16,211M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,607M
€1,023M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€47,281M
€31,011M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,125M
€1,305M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,478M
€1,565M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,350M
€5,365M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€80,174
€86,644
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,328M
€1,670M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
71,410
78,580
Self-employed persons
8,990
8,400
Employment in manufacturing (C)
5,450
8,140
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.0%
80.2%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.8%
3.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
98,000
96,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
7,366
5,989
Enterprise births
544
510
Enterprise deaths
686
568
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.7%
3.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.5%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.1%
3.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
32.2%
31.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
31.8%
30.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.4%
8.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.9%
21.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.6%
8.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
300,677
2,269,144
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
584 /1k
653 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,379 kt
6,432 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,357
2,191
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
686
1,102
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
28 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
55
61
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
118,573
118,861
Population aged 65+
52,175
53,001
Population aged under 15
27,069
26,980
Median age of population
50.5 yrs
50.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
44.0%
44.6%
Crude rate of total population change
0.2 /1k
-2.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.5 /1k
4.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.5 /1k
7.6 /1k
Crude death rate
13.8 /1k
15.0 /1k
Live births
1,079
1,509
Deaths
2,724
2,990
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
66.8%
67.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.36
1.55
Population density (persons per km²)
93 /km²
98 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
185,191
169,461
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.6%
20.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.0 yrs
80.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.7%
14.4%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,113 /100k
1,033 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
245 /100k
242 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
34.9 /100k
29.6 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
300 /100k
251 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
823 /100k
844 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
45 /M
41 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
9 m
36 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
9 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
60 days/yr
41 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
2 days/yr