NUTS-3 ITC15 · Italy
Novara
Novara generates €13bn of GDP across 364.1k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 59.2/100 is mid-table of EU regions, led by market access and economic scale. Its economy has grown +3.4%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 5.0pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for health (81.5th EU percentile) and weakest for clean environment (14th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Long-run faller83 → 58 EU percentile since 1995 (-25 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Industrial base86
Freight intensity76
Economic base66
Demographic outlook63
Connectivity62
Cost advantage51
Growth momentum46
Energy cost46
Resilience43
Quality of life43
Digital readiness29
Labour market21
Governance20
Talent & skills18
Air quality14
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
59.2
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth46.2
Livability42.6
Market access78
Economic scale70
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
43.3
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability55
Labour stability40
Diversification36
Demographic stability42
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
62.3
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density17
Airport access92
Market access78
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
18
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary10
Lifelong learning48
Knowledge workers6
Scientists & engineers8
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Clean-Air Score · air-quality livability (experimental)
13.7
/ 100 · higher = cleaner air than more EU regions · 3/3 pollutants
PM2.513.3 µg/m³
PM1019.2 µg/m³
NO223.5 µg/m³
PM2.5, PM10 & NO2 annual means from official monitoring networks, inverted (lower pollution = higher) and EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = cleaner air; ground-level ozone is shown separately. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
42.6
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy57.5
Jobs27
Education37.5
Health81.5
Safety58
Connectivity23
Environment14
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
46.2
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+3.4%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+2.9%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+0.4 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
-0.3 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
-0.1%
CAGR
Employment rate
+5.0 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
-1.5 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Industry · 30.7%Diversified · HHI 2336
Agriculture 1%Industry 30.7%Construction 5.8%Trade · transport · ICT 20.4%Finance · real estate · prof. 26.4%Public · health · education 15.8%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2023
GDP (current prices)
€13,143M2023
4.7% 1y 3.3% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 70
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€12,042M2025
0.6% 1y 2.4% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 72
Population
364,1402025
0.2% 1y 0.0% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 67
Unemployment rate
6.0%2025
7.1% 1y 3.0% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 67
Employment
157,6002023
1.4% 1y 0.7% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 65
Productivity / employee
€84,7112025
1.4% 1y 3.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 52
Gross value added
€11,807M2023
4.8% 1y 3.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 70
All indicators · 88 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€11,807M
2023 · EU pctl 70
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€113M
2023 · EU pctl 41
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,624M
2023 · EU pctl 79
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,420M
2023 · EU pctl 84
GVA — construction (F)
€690M
2023 · EU pctl 67
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,408M
2023 · EU pctl 70
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€24,400
2024 · EU pctl 49 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
37,600 PPS
2023 · EU pctl 66
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€36,200
2023 · EU pctl 53
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€44,851M
2023 · EU pctl 89 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€10,323M
2023 · EU pctl 93 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€61,911M
2023 · EU pctl 80 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,538M
2023 · EU pctl 68
GVA — information & communication (J)
€167M
2023 · EU pctl 52
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,112M
2023 · EU pctl 75
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,861M
2023 · EU pctl 59
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,042M
2025 · EU pctl 72
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€84,711
2025 · EU pctl 52
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,764M
2025 · EU pctl 77
Labour market
Employment, total persons
157,600
2023 · EU pctl 65
Self-employed persons
34,600
2023 · EU pctl 75
Employment in manufacturing (C)
37,500
2023 · EU pctl 79
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
73.5%
2025 · EU pctl 25 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
19.3%
2025 · EU pctl 69 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.0%
2025 · EU pctl 67
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
172,600
2025 · EU pctl 66
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
26,362
2023 · EU pctl 69
Enterprise births
1,871
2023 · EU pctl 61
Enterprise deaths
1,576
2023 · EU pctl 62
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.8%
2023 · EU pctl 31
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
2.1%
2023 · EU pctl 68 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
3.6%
2025 · EU pctl 33 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
1.6%
2023 · EU pctl 69 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
21.2%
2025 · EU pctl 7 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
29.3%
2025 · EU pctl 10 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
10.0%
2025 · EU pctl 48 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
16.0%
2025 · EU pctl 6 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
5.0%
2025 · EU pctl 8 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
93.9%
2025 · EU pctl 29 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,638,065
2025 · EU pctl 64
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
723 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 94 · NUTS-2 src
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
43
CURRENT · EU pctl 18
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,238 kt
2025 · EU pctl 78
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
12
CURRENT · EU pctl 17
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²)
36 km/1000km²
2024 · EU pctl 77 · NUTS-2 src
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
15
CURRENT · EU pctl 8
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
4
CURRENT · EU pctl 90
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
229,276
2025 · EU pctl 67
Population aged 65+
92,051
2025 · EU pctl 70
Population aged under 15
42,813
2025 · EU pctl 59
Median age of population
49.6 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 82
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.1%
2025 · EU pctl 69
Crude rate of total population change
1.8 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 56
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 72
Crude birth rate
6.1 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 16
Crude death rate
11.5 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 48
Live births
2,212
2024 · EU pctl 57
Deaths
4,190
2024 · EU pctl 67
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.8%
2025 · EU pctl 46
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.19
2024 · EU pctl 19
Population density (persons per km²)
279 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 73
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
314,179
2100 · EU pctl 66
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
353 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 36 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
892 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 23 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
228 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 45 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.3 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 25
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
31.9 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 66
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
963 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 60
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
40 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 41 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
2022 · EU pctl 20
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
2022 · EU pctl 14
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 20
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
2022 · EU pctl 15
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
2022 · EU pctl 25
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 54
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 19
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
222 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 51
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
17 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 74
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
57 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 50
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
21 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 96
Environment
PM10 (coarse particulate matter) annual mean concentration — mean across EEA air-quality monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
19
2024 · EU pctl 78
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
24
2024 · EU pctl 94
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
50
2024 · EU pctl 30
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
63.0 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 77
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
1.1%
2021 · EU pctl 23
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Italy regions