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NUTS-3 HU231 · Hungary

Baranya

Export region data (CSV)
Opportunity31Momentum57Resilience36Quality of life21vs nearest peer: Veszprém

Baranya generates €5.1bn of GDP across 351.2k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 31.4/100 sits in the lower tier of EU regions, led by economic growth and economic scale. Its economy has grown +6.7%/yr over five years, with the employment rate up 8.0pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for digital connectivity (46.5th EU percentile) and weakest for clean environment (6th).

Geometry: GISCO NUTS 2024, EPSG:4326, generalised at 1:3M.
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Persistent laggard137 EU percentile since 1995 (-6 ranks)
255075EU median1995200020052010201520206
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Cost advantage
95
Connectivity
63
Growth momentum
57
Demographic outlook
51
Industrial base
49
Labour market
41
Resilience
36
Quality of life
21
Freight intensity
20
Digital readiness
16
Talent & skills
11
Economic base
9
Governance
6
Energy cost
2
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
31.4
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth57
Livability20.5
Market access17
Economic scale31
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
35.5
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability15
Labour stability28
Diversification82
Demographic stability17
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
63.3
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density77
Airport access96
Market access17
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
11.3
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary4
Lifelong learning31
Knowledge workers6
Scientists & engineers4
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
20.5
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy7
Jobs35.5
Education8.5
Health7
Safety33.3
Connectivity46.5
Environment6
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
57
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+6.7%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+6.9%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
-0.2 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
+0.5 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
-0.6%
CAGR
Employment rate
+8.0 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
+1.1 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Public · health · education · 28.7%Diversified · HHI 2064
Agriculture 6.6%Industry 20.4%Construction 6%Trade · transport · ICT 16.8%Finance · real estate · prof. 21.5%Public · health · education 28.7%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 20092024
GDP (current prices)
€5,090M2024
2.0% 1y 6.7% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 31
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€3,729M2025
0.6% 1y 1.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 27
Population
351,1582025
0.6% 1y 0.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 65
Unemployment rate
6.4%2025
13.5% 1y 3.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 70
Employment
134,2802024
1.9% 1y 0.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 57
Productivity / employee
€40,0642025
5.6% 1y 8.7% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 9
Gross value added
€4,374M2024
1.3% 1y 7.0% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 29
All indicators · 87 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,374M
2024 · EU pctl 29
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€287M
2024 · EU pctl 72
GVA — industry (B–E)
€892M
2024 · EU pctl 28
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€739M
2024 · EU pctl 32
GVA — construction (F)
€264M
2024 · EU pctl 28
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€734M
2024 · EU pctl 26
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€9,200
2023 · EU pctl 5 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
20,400 PPS
2024 · EU pctl 9
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€14,400
2024 · EU pctl 9
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€4,847M
2023 · EU pctl 13 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€583M
2023 · EU pctl 14 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€4,955M
2023 · EU pctl 6 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€530M
2024 · EU pctl 33
GVA — information & communication (J)
€139M
2024 · EU pctl 49
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€941M
2024 · EU pctl 33
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,256M
2024 · EU pctl 41
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,729M
2025 · EU pctl 27
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€40,064
2025 · EU pctl 9
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,970M
2025 · EU pctl 54
Labour market
Employment, total persons
134,280
2024 · EU pctl 57
Self-employed persons
13,840
2024 · EU pctl 46
Employment in manufacturing (C)
23,800
2024 · EU pctl 63
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
76.7%
2025 · EU pctl 41 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
19.4%
2025 · EU pctl 70 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.4%
2025 · EU pctl 70
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
173,200
2025 · EU pctl 66
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
30,961
2023 · EU pctl 74
Enterprise births
2,875
2023 · EU pctl 73
Enterprise deaths
787
2023 · EU pctl 42
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.8%
2023 · EU pctl 84
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
0.6%
2023 · EU pctl 9 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
3.2%
2025 · EU pctl 21 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
0.6%
2023 · EU pctl 18 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
21.6%
2025 · EU pctl 8 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
22.0%
2025 · EU pctl 4 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
9.0%
2025 · EU pctl 31 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
15.9%
2025 · EU pctl 6 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
4.6%
2025 · EU pctl 4 · NUTS-2 src
Digital
Households with internet access
92.2%
2025 · EU pctl 16 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
696,252
2025 · EU pctl 41
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
453 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 11 · NUTS-2 src
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2,429
CURRENT · EU pctl 85
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
5,721 kt
2025 · EU pctl 41
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²)
24 km/1000km²
2024 · EU pctl 51 · NUTS-2 src
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
692
CURRENT · EU pctl 77
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
10
CURRENT · EU pctl 4
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
CURRENT · EU pctl 15
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
224,707
2025 · EU pctl 66
Population aged 65+
80,655
2025 · EU pctl 65
Population aged under 15
45,796
2025 · EU pctl 62
Median age of population
46.2 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 50
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
35.9%
2025 · EU pctl 45
Crude rate of total population change
-6.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 13
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.8 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 18
Crude birth rate
7.4 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 41
Crude death rate
14.4 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 85
Live births
2,618
2024 · EU pctl 65
Deaths
5,057
2024 · EU pctl 75
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.3%
2025 · EU pctl 29
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.29
2024 · EU pctl 32
Population density (persons per km²)
80 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 32
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
337,270
2100 · EU pctl 69
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE)
25.4%
2025 · EU pctl 82 · NUTS-2 src
Life expectancy at birth
76.8 yrs
2024 · EU pctl 6 · NUTS-2 src
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional)
18.0%
2025 · EU pctl 71 · NUTS-2 src
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants
677 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 87 · NUTS-2 src
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
1,709 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 92 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
326 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 99 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.7 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 88
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.5 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 19
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
420 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 26
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
67 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 86 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.66
2022 · EU pctl 17
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.29
2022 · EU pctl 2
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.24
2022 · EU pctl 2
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.04
2022 · EU pctl 2
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.67
2022 · EU pctl 84
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.171/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 98
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 17
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
175 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 44
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
19 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 76
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
62 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 55
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 54
Environment
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
23
2024 · EU pctl 94
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
65
2024 · EU pctl 89
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
83.0 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 84
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
3.2%
2021 · EU pctl 52
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