NUTS-3 DE949 · Germany
Emsland
Emsland generates €18bn of GDP across 334.5k residents. Its Opportunity Index of 69.8/100 puts it in the upper quartile of EU regions, led by economic scale and market access. Its economy has grown +5.4%/yr over five years and accelerating, with the employment rate up 4.1pp. On quality of life it ranks strongest for jobs (87.5th EU percentile) and weakest for education (23th).
Long-run trajectory · EU percentile of real GDP per head, 1995–2024
Enduring leader77 → 86 EU percentile since 1995 (+9 ranks)
Yearly EU-wide percentile of real GDP per head (ARDECO regional accounts, constant 2020 prices, derived over population). 50 = the EU median that year; percentiles are scale-free, so decades are directly comparable. See the backtest for what long-run prosperity ranks do — and don't — anticipate.
Mandate pillar profile · EU percentiles (screener dimensions)
Freight intensity96
Economic base87
Labour market82
Industrial base73
Air quality73
Growth momentum64
Connectivity62
Quality of life58
Resilience58
Governance56
Demographic outlook51
Energy cost36
Talent & skills34
Cost advantage33
Each bar is this region's EU percentile on a screener pillar (higher = better for siting; cost & energy are inverted so cheap scores high). These are the exact weights you tune in the Site Screener.
Opportunity Index · composite triage (experimental)
69.8
/ 100 · blends growth, livability, market access & scale · 4/4 pillars
Growth63.8
Livability58.2
Market access78
Economic scale79
Equal-weighted mean of four EU-percentile pillars (deliberately orthogonal: growth=trend, livability=quality, market=distance-weighted demand proxy, scale=absolute GDP). Experimental — a screening triage, not investment advice.
Resilience Index · downside / risk lens (experimental)
58
/ 100 · higher = more resilient to downturns · 4/4 pillars
GDP stability23
Labour stability70
Diversification68
Demographic stability71
Inverse of GDP-growth & unemployment volatility (since 2008, incl. 2009/2020 shocks), economic diversification (inverse HHI) and population stability — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher withstands downturns better. Experimental.
Connectivity Index · transit · air · market access (experimental)
61.7
/ 100 · higher = better-connected · 3/3 facets
Transit density71
Airport access36
Market access78
Public-transport stop density, proximity to a major airport, and gravity access to surrounding economic mass — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = better-connected. Experimental.
Talent & Human Capital Index · skills base (experimental)
34
/ 100 · higher = deeper skills base than more EU regions · 4/4 facets
Young tertiary41
Lifelong learning27
Knowledge workers33
Scientists & engineers35
Young tertiary attainment (25–34), adult lifelong learning, knowledge-worker share and scientists & engineers — each EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = deeper talent pool. Experimental.
Clean-Air Score · air-quality livability (experimental)
73
/ 100 · higher = cleaner air than more EU regions · 3/3 pollutants
PM2.57.8 µg/m³
PM1011.4 µg/m³
NO29.5 µg/m³
PM2.5, PM10 & NO2 annual means from official monitoring networks, inverted (lower pollution = higher) and EU-percentile-ranked. Higher = cleaner air; ground-level ozone is shown separately. Experimental.
Quality of Life · composite (experimental)
58.2
/ 100 · EU-relative · 7/7 pillars
Economy77
Jobs87.5
Education23
Health35.5
Safety39
Connectivity71
Environment74.3
Equal-weighted percentile across 6 pillars vs all EU NUTS-3; lower-is-better indicators (crime, unemployment, mortality) inverted. Experimental — regional screening only.
Growth momentum · trend analytics
63.8
/ 100 momentum · EU-relative · 5/5 signals
GDP growth · 5-yr
+5.4%
CAGR, nominal
GDP growth · 10-yr
+4.5%
CAGR, nominal
Acceleration
+1.0 pp
5-yr vs 10-yr
vs country avg
+1.2 pp
inflation-adj.
Population · 5-yr
+0.5%
CAGR
Employment rate
+4.1 pp
5-yr change
Unemployment
-0.4 pp
5-yr change
Compound annual growth to the latest available year vs all EU NUTS-3; GDP is nominal EUR (“vs country avg” removes most national inflation). Screening signal, not a forecast.
Economic structure · gross value added by sector
Dominant: Industry · 33.9%Diversified · HHI 2148
Agriculture 5.5%Industry 33.9%Construction 9.3%Trade · transport · ICT 16.8%Finance · real estate · prof. 18.5%Public · health · education 16.1%
Share of total GVA (latest year). HHI = sum of squared sector shares ×10,000; higher means a more concentrated, single-sector-dependent economy (more cyclicality risk).
Trends · 2009–2023
GDP (current prices)
€18,083M2023
5.4% 1y 5.4% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 79
Real GDP (2020 prices)
€15,050M2025
0.2% 1y 1.6% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 78
Population
334,5392025
0.1% 1y 0.5% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 64
Unemployment rate
2.9%2025
6.5% 1y 8.8% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 9
Employment
204,5402023
0.9% 1y 1.1% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 73
Productivity / employee
€93,5562025
3.3% 1y 5.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 73
Gross value added
€16,517M2023
4.1% 1y 5.9% 5y CAGR
EU percentile 80
All indicators · 84 more metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€16,517M
2023 · EU pctl 80
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€902M
2023 · EU pctl 97
GVA — industry (B–E)
€5,603M
2023 · EU pctl 90
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,856M
2023 · EU pctl 86
GVA — construction (F)
€1,538M
2023 · EU pctl 90
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,770M
2023 · EU pctl 74
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source)
€27,000
2023 · EU pctl 67 · NUTS-2 src
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
48,400 PPS
2023 · EU pctl 87
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€54,300
2023 · EU pctl 87
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy)
€31,047M
2023 · EU pctl 82 · NUTS-2 src
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C)
€2,687M
2023 · EU pctl 58 · NUTS-2 src
Compensation of employees (total wage bill)
€59,034M
2023 · EU pctl 77 · NUTS-2 src
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,050M
2023 · EU pctl 75
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,654M
2023 · EU pctl 70
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€15,050M
2025 · EU pctl 78
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€93,556
2025 · EU pctl 73
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,868M
2025 · EU pctl 83
Labour market
Employment, total persons
204,540
2023 · EU pctl 73
Self-employed persons
16,510
2023 · EU pctl 52
Employment in manufacturing (C)
46,800
2023 · EU pctl 86
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source)
81.8%
2025 · EU pctl 78 · NUTS-2 src
Youth unemployment rate (15–24)
5.6%
2019 · EU pctl 7 · NUTS-2 src
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
2025 · EU pctl 9
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
185,400
2025 · EU pctl 69
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
11,572
2023 · EU pctl 44
Enterprise births
919
2023 · EU pctl 41
Enterprise deaths
887
2023 · EU pctl 46
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
2023 · EU pctl 34
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP
0.8%
2023 · EU pctl 16 · NUTS-2 src
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total)
3.2%
2025 · EU pctl 21 · NUTS-2 src
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE)
0.6%
2023 · EU pctl 14 · NUTS-2 src
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64
30.8%
2025 · EU pctl 30 · NUTS-2 src
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool)
38.2%
2025 · EU pctl 41 · NUTS-2 src
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks)
8.4%
2025 · EU pctl 27 · NUTS-2 src
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force)
20.9%
2025 · EU pctl 33 · NUTS-2 src
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force)
7.5%
2025 · EU pctl 35 · NUTS-2 src
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,251,211
2024 · EU pctl 72
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants
623 /1k pop
2024 · EU pctl 66 · NUTS-2 src
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
22,791 kt
2025 · EU pctl 91
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2,064
CURRENT · EU pctl 80
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
617
CURRENT · EU pctl 71
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
67
CURRENT · EU pctl 64
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
CURRENT · EU pctl 50
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
214,239
2025 · EU pctl 64
Population aged 65+
69,617
2025 · EU pctl 58
Population aged under 15
50,683
2025 · EU pctl 66
Median age of population
44.3 yrs
2025 · EU pctl 29
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.5%
2025 · EU pctl 24
Crude rate of total population change
1.0 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 51
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
3.1 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 35
Crude birth rate
9.1 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 85
Crude death rate
11.2 /1k
2024 · EU pctl 43
Live births
3,048
2024 · EU pctl 71
Deaths
3,732
2024 · EU pctl 61
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.2%
2025 · EU pctl 29
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.59
2024 · EU pctl 87
Population density (persons per km²)
116 /km²
2024 · EU pctl 47
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
352,072
2100 · EU pctl 71
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate)
1,034 /100k
2021 · EU pctl 54 · NUTS-2 src
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate)
236 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 59 · NUTS-2 src
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 45
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
37.1 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 73
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
232 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 54
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,095 /100k
2024 · EU pctl 67
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants
54 /M pop
2024 · EU pctl 71 · NUTS-2 src
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
2022 · EU pctl 59
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
2022 · EU pctl 56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
2022 · EU pctl 54
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
2022 · EU pctl 57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
2022 · EU pctl 34
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 64
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
2025-S2 · EU pctl 53
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
28 m
CURRENT · EU pctl 9
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 29
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
41 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 31
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
CLIM_2014_2023 · EU pctl 33
Environment
PM10 (coarse particulate matter) annual mean concentration — mean across EEA air-quality monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
11
2024 · EU pctl 14
NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) annual mean concentration — a traffic / combustion pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data). Lower is better.
10
2024 · EU pctl 29
O3 (ground-level ozone) annual mean concentration — a summer-smog pollutant; mean across EEA monitoring stations within the region (verified E1a data).
56
2024 · EU pctl 62
Industrial facilities per 100k inhabitants (E-PRTR)
396 /100k
2023 · EU pctl 98
Population in the 100-year river floodplain (% of residents, EFAS × census grid)
9.5%
2021 · EU pctl 86
Similar regions · nearest peers on standardised NUTS-3 indicators
Other Germany regions