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SE311 · SE321

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NUTS-3 SE311 · Sweden
Population
283,3842025
GDP
€11,976M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
21,904.3 km²
NUTS-3 SE321 · Sweden
Population
241,4582025
GDP
€12,132M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
85%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
23,009.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Västernorrlands län (Opportunity 43). Runner-up: Värmlands län (40). Contrarian pick: Värmlands län — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 91).

Strengths
Labour market (97) · Energy cost (97)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Governance (93)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Västernorrlands län
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 7) — Värmlands län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Västernorrlands län leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
40.0
42.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
50.3
48.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
51.2
56.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
70.0
49.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
14.0
7.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
79.0
75.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
24.8
41.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.3% 5y
2.8% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.8% 5y
4.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€42,262
€50,244
Population density
13 /km²
10 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,726M
€10,865M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€305M
€425M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,481M
€2,804M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,738M
€1,934M
GVA — construction (F)
€885M
€757M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,513M
€2,204M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€21,700
€22,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,500 PPS
42,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€42,000
€49,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,213M
€4,434M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,289M
€686M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€17,269M
€7,806M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€609M
€736M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€278M
€474M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,521M
€1,865M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,020M
€2,811M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€10,937M
€11,185M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€96,105
€105,770
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,755M
€3,350M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
132,580
122,020
Self-employed persons
7,300
7,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
17,000
14,400
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
83.2%
84.9%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
23.7%
19.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.3%
6.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
147,600
129,100
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
19,424
16,894
Enterprise births
1,391
1,257
Enterprise deaths
1,211
1,210
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.9%
4.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.0%
1.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.9%
3.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
41.4%
41.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
45.7%
39.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
34.2%
34.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
28.7%
29.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.7%
10.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.8%
98.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,972,828
1,427,320
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
558 /1k
555 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,398 kt
12,337 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
36
16
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
13
7
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
1 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
127
154
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
167,707
142,373
Population aged 65+
71,235
61,269
Population aged under 15
44,442
37,816
Median age of population
44.8 yrs
45.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.5%
43.0%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.6 /1k
-2.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.4 /1k
1.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.0 /1k
7.4 /1k
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
11.9 /1k
Live births
2,279
1,786
Deaths
3,113
2,867
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
69.0%
69.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.42
1.39
Population density (persons per km²)
16 /km²
11 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
323,277
262,690
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.3%
19.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.3 yrs
82.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.2%
16.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
182 /100k
205 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
902 /100k
950 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
204 /100k
211 /100k
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.8 /100k
19.0 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
628 /100k
391 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,882 /100k
1,496 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
27 /M
29 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.91
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.62
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.74
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2.03
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.94
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.085/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.073/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,290 kSEK
945 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
175 m
109 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
1 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
131 days/yr
174 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr