NUTS-3 PT11D · Portugal
Population
183,8672025
GDP
€3,781M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
4,041.7 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
PT11D · EL611
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Douro (Opportunity 38). Runner-up: Καρδίτσα, Τρίκαλα (24). Contrarian pick: Καρδίτσα, Τρίκαλα — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 86).
#1Douro
Strengths
Air quality (94) · Energy cost (90)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (86) · Freight intensity (76)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Douro
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 1) — Καρδίτσα, Τρίκαλα may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: Logistics → Καρδίτσα, Τρίκαλα · Manufacturing → Douro · Office → Douro · Residential → Douro.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
38.4
23.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
49.3
29.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
49.4
28.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
94.0
1.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
15.3
4.5
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
63.0
21.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
61.2
44.8
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.3% 5y
3.0% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.9% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.5% 5y
18.1% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€20,566
€13,633
Population density
45 /km²
37 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,288M
€2,645M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€203M
€217M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€634M
€458M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€206M
€329M
GVA — construction (F)
€149M
€76M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€623M
€517M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€13,800
€11,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
25,000 PPS
16,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€20,500
€13,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€16,004M
€2,244M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,831M
€354M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€39,066M
€4,089M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€307M
€377M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€28M
€21M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€550M
€598M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€865M
€778M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,214M
€2,775M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€45,363
€31,454
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€809M
€700M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
85,990
105,020
Self-employed persons
25,680
51,670
Employment in manufacturing (C)
5,960
6,530
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.8%
65.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
18.4%
16.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.3%
6.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
89,400
91,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
18,510
16,528
Enterprise births
2,356
1,156
Enterprise deaths
2,055
600
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
4.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
1.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.4%
1.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
29.8%
31.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
41.3%
37.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.7%
5.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.3%
17.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
10.5%
6.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
88.8%
—
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
728,479
769,520
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
—
395 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
690 kt
9,345 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
19
—
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
—
17 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
10
—
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
116
156
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
109,869
130,612
Population aged 65+
55,658
65,601
Population aged under 15
18,340
26,101
Median age of population
52.3 yrs
51.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
50.7%
50.2%
Crude rate of total population change
5.6 /1k
-6.5 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
14.7 /1k
3.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.2 /1k
5.5 /1k
Crude death rate
14.3 /1k
15.6 /1k
Live births
952
1,229
Deaths
2,624
3,485
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
67.4%
70.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.07
1.21
Population density (persons per km²)
46 /km²
37 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
101,313
150,123
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.7%
30.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.1 yrs
82.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
15.6%
25.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
327 /100k
608 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
914 /100k
1,115 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
240 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
17.9 /100k
2.7 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
79.8 /100k
18.8 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
347 /100k
71.5 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
53 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.02
0.56
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.81
0.42
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.13
0.49
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.79
0.32
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.89
0.24
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.143/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
€0.039/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
587 m
129 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
45 days/yr
87 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
25 days/yr
22 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
11 days/yr