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ITI35 · ITF22

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NUTS-3 ITI35 · Italy
Population
166,9572025
GDP
€4,919M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
865.6 km²
NUTS-3 ITF22 · Italy
Population
209,0592025
GDP
€5,717M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
62.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,914.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Campobasso (Opportunity 35). Runner-up: Fermo (35). Contrarian pick: Fermo — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 85).

Strengths
Cost advantage (68) · Energy cost (46)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Industrial base (85) · Demographic outlook (71)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 27 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Campobasso
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 4) — Fermo may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsCampobasso · ManufacturingFermo · OfficeFermo · ResidentialFermo.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
34.6
34.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
36.0
44.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
40.1
28.8
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
20.7
19.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
24.0
18.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
34.4
39.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.4% 5y
2.3% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.8% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.6% 5y
7.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€29,463
€27,347
Population density
193 /km²
72 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,419M
€5,136M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€89M
€317M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,322M
€850M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,263M
€721M
GVA — construction (F)
€262M
€370M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€874M
€1,033M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€21,600
€18,300
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
30,500 PPS
28,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€29,300
€27,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€11,341M
€2,059M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,925M
€145M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€19,218M
€2,725M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€559M
€687M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€59M
€129M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,090M
€1,246M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€783M
€1,321M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,462M
€5,131M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€71,600
€72,976
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,148M
€1,518M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
70,700
80,000
Self-employed persons
20,700
23,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
21,400
9,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.3%
61.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
21.2%
39.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.1%
6.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
76,800
83,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
15,933
15,041
Enterprise births
1,079
1,168
Enterprise deaths
861
824
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.7%
4.0%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.9%
0.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.5%
2.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.0%
0.9%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
24.9%
22.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.8%
27.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.5%
11.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.3%
16.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.2%
3.5%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.6%
91.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,614,199
383,117
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
718 /1k
767 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3
2
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,578 kt
4,063 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
20 km/1000km²
8 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
85
96
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
102,906
130,834
Population aged 65+
45,534
56,457
Population aged under 15
18,517
21,768
Median age of population
50.5 yrs
50.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
44.2%
43.2%
Crude rate of total population change
-2.3 /1k
-4.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.5 /1k
3.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.5 /1k
5.4 /1k
Crude death rate
12.2 /1k
13.3 /1k
Live births
911
1,139
Deaths
2,047
2,782
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
62.2%
59.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.07
1.05
Population density (persons per km²)
194 /km²
72 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
137,401
146,228
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
13.9%
22.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.4 yrs
82.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.0%
17.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
284 /100k
305 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
865 /100k
973 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
199 /100k
197 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
23.2 /100k
15.7 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
870 /100k
789 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
49 /M
42 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
259 m
582 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
35 days/yr
28 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
18 days/yr
23 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
9 days/yr