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ITI12 · FRY20

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NUTS-3 ITI12 · Italy
Population
381,3902025
GDP
€13,907M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,773.4 km²
NUTS-3 FRY20 · France
Population
359,4192025
GDP
€10,480M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
13.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
67.4%2025
Active firms
124,2682026
Cadastral parcels
222,3592026
Area
1,112.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lucca (Opportunity 59). Runner-up: Martinique (32). Contrarian pick: Martinique — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 88).

Strengths
Industrial base (77) · Connectivity (72)
Red flags
Flood: 22% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Strengths
Energy cost (88) · Connectivity (67)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Lucca
Flood: 22% of population in the 100-year floodplain. Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Martinique may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Lucca leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
58.8
31.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
48.5
38.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.0
32.5
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
40.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
72.0
67.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
23.3
28.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
56.0
27.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.8% 5y
2.2% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.5% 5y
1.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€36,463
€29,158
Population density
215 /km²
323 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
619
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
346

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€12,493M
€9,806M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€131M
€246M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,376M
€926M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,087M
€314M
GVA — construction (F)
€832M
€356M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,711M
€2,142M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,000
€20,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
37,800 PPS
27,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€36,400
€29,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€29,682M
€1,601M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€5,009M
€88M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€51,756M
€6,464M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,742M
€1,073M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€201M
€447M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,370M
€2,225M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,075M
€3,912M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,702M
€9,658M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€83,985
€70,499
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,004M
€1,627M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
168,300
151,500
Self-employed persons
44,200
17,000
Employment in manufacturing (C)
31,700
6,800
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.7%
70.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.1%
45.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.3%
13.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
181,600
151,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
35,280
43,005
Enterprise births
2,339
7,591
Enterprise deaths
1,975
3,915
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.6%
8.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.8%
31.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
30.8%
37.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.7%
9.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.4%
20.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.9%
4.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.6%
91.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
5,181,703
1,132,780
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
744 /1k
540 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
4,457
5,760
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
9,292 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1,169
1,603
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
38
5
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
237,110
213,477
Population aged 65+
103,777
92,582
Population aged under 15
40,503
53,360
Median age of population
51.4 yrs
50.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
43.8%
43.4%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.1 /1k
-2.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.2 /1k
0.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.3 /1k
8.1 /1k
Crude death rate
12.6 /1k
10.5 /1k
Live births
2,007
2,898
Deaths
4,794
3,793
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.8%
68.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.08
1.54
Population density (persons per km²)
218 /km²
327 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
306,435
234,325
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.1%
31.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.2 yrs
81.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.8%
25.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
285 /100k
496 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
848 /100k
1,075 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
188 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.3 /100k
8.1 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
35.3 /100k
138 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
430 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,382 /100k
1,359 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
51 /M
67 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.46
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
1.27
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
1.02
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
1.39
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.02
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
770 m
50 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
10 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
65 days/yr
0 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
27 days/yr
7 days/yr