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ITH37 · ITI22

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NUTS-3 ITH37 · Italy
Population
227,1342025
GDP
€7,214M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,664.9 km²
NUTS-3 ITI22 · Italy
Population
215,2852025
GDP
€6,313M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,128 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Rovigo (Opportunity 47). Runner-up: Terni (42). Contrarian pick: Terni — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 63).

Strengths
Industrial base (68) · Cost advantage (56)
Red flags
Flood: 62% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Long-run slide: down 25 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (63) · Energy cost (46)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Rovigo
Flood: 62% of population in the 100-year floodplain; Long-run slide: down 25 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 20) — Terni may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsTerni · ManufacturingRovigo · OfficeRovigo · ResidentialTerni.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
47.0
42.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
53.5
42.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
45.8
42.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
40.3
42.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
27.3
28.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
37.0
41.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.1% 5y
3.2% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
13.4% 5y
7.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€31,763
€29,323
Population density
136 /km²
101 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€6,481M
€5,671M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€226M
€189M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,631M
€1,133M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,413M
€879M
GVA — construction (F)
€445M
€402M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,398M
€1,306M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,500
€21,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
32,900 PPS
30,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€31,700
€29,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€45,490M
€6,687M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€10,941M
€1,149M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€75,959M
€10,415M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€823M
€675M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€65M
€126M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,603M
€1,389M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,177M
€1,252M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,499M
€5,758M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€77,309
€72,456
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,690M
€1,596M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
95,700
88,100
Self-employed persons
23,600
22,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
20,200
11,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.8%
72.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
13.7%
18.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.4%
4.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
103,300
98,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
16,145
16,326
Enterprise births
926
1,161
Enterprise deaths
929
903
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.4%
4.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
0.9%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.2%
2.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.4%
0.9%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
21.8%
25.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
33.3%
33.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.3%
13.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.0%
18.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.0%
4.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.5%
93.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,534,490
1,114,822
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
680 /1k
774 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
19
78
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
6,363 kt
5,731 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
8
36
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
40 km/1000km²
12 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
57
50
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
4
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
139,291
130,531
Population aged 65+
65,038
62,659
Population aged under 15
22,805
22,095
Median age of population
52.4 yrs
52.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
46.7%
48.0%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.4 /1k
-2.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.6 /1k
6.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
4.9 /1k
5.2 /1k
Crude death rate
12.8 /1k
13.8 /1k
Live births
1,107
1,130
Deaths
2,913
2,979
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.1%
64.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.05
1.11
Population density (persons per km²)
144 /km²
102 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
151,002
153,226
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
14.6%
13.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.6 yrs
84.1 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.4%
11.3%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
307 /100k
306 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
825 /100k
839 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
200 /100k
208 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
16.7 /100k
17.0 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
853 /100k
813 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
55 /M
73 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
3 m
381 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
53 days/yr
51 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
34 days/yr
23 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
11 days/yr