NUTS-3 ITF31 · Italy
Population
908,4512025
GDP
€19,474M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
13.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
50.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
2,646.8 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
ITF31 · ES425
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Toledo (Opportunity 61). Runner-up: Caserta (51). Contrarian pick: Caserta — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 78).
#1Toledo
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (93)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
#2Caserta
Strengths
Demographic outlook (78) · Cost advantage (73)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Toledo
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Labour market (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 9) — Caserta may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: Logistics → Toledo · Manufacturing → Toledo · Office → Toledo · Residential → Caserta.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
50.9
61.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
50.3
56.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
19.7
42.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
6.3
43.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
41.3
27.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
11.3
45.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
59.0
79.8
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.3% 5y
3.9% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
1.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.7% 5y
7.7% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€21,436
€22,612
Population density
343 /km²
49 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€17,494M
€15,518M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€748M
€793M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,325M
€3,686M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,944M
€2,798M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,588M
€1,172M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€4,033M
€3,102M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€16,200
€15,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,300 PPS
26,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€21,500
€23,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€28,842M
€9,963M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,238M
€1,892M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€50,450M
€23,774M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€2,230M
—
GVA — information & communication (J)
€151M
—
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€4,226M
€2,956M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€4,575M
€3,809M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€18,034M
€15,208M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€69,408
€70,998
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,288M
€3,672M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
287,400
259,700
Self-employed persons
71,500
47,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
31,600
40,300
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
54.4%
74.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
40.1%
27.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
13.9%
12.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
339,800
378,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
54,056
47,358
Enterprise births
5,551
4,081
Enterprise deaths
3,144
3,754
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.2%
4.0%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
0.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.4%
3.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
0.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
18.7%
33.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
27.1%
47.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.6%
14.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.8%
18.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
3.8%
5.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
90.9%
96.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,453,756
1,970,951
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
667 /1k
599 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
11,355 kt
42,853 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
54
121
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
37 km/1000km²
23 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
6
16
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
39
90
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
603,868
501,777
Population aged 65+
179,524
141,782
Population aged under 15
125,059
111,522
Median age of population
44.9 yrs
44.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
29.7%
28.3%
Crude rate of total population change
2.1 /1k
15.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.0 /1k
17.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.7 /1k
7.0 /1k
Crude death rate
9.6 /1k
8.2 /1k
Live births
7,029
5,256
Deaths
8,709
6,134
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
50.4%
50.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.28
1.23
Population density (persons per km²)
344 /km²
49 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
774,935
487,265
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
41.2%
34.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.0 yrs
83.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
35.6%
25.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
257 /100k
236 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,058 /100k
837 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
238 /100k
206 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.2 /100k
0.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
43.7 /100k
51.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
—
453 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,393 /100k
247 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
47 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
158 m
639 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
51 days/yr
76 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
16 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
17 days/yr
2 days/yr