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ITF31 · ES220

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NUTS-3 ITF31 · Italy
Population
908,4512025
GDP
€19,474M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
13.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
50.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,646.8 km²
NUTS-3 ES220 · Spain
Population
683,8542025
GDP
€24,975M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
10,399.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Navarra (Opportunity 62). Runner-up: Caserta (51). Contrarian pick: Caserta — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 73).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (85)
No red flags
Strengths
Demographic outlook (78) · Cost advantage (73)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Navarra
Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 17) — Caserta may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Navarra leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
50.9
61.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
50.3
53.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
19.7
63.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
6.3
73.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
41.3
16.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
11.3
78.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
59.0
66.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.3% 5y
3.9% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.7% 5y
5.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€21,436
€36,522
Population density
343 /km²
66 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€17,494M
€22,761M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€748M
€859M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,325M
€6,806M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,944M
€5,852M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,588M
€1,262M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€4,033M
€4,873M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€16,200
€21,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,300 PPS
41,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€21,500
€37,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€28,842M
€5,852M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,238M
€1,789M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€50,450M
€12,398M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€2,230M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€151M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€4,226M
€4,459M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€4,575M
€4,503M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€18,034M
€23,203M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€69,408
€83,183
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,288M
€6,638M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
287,400
320,800
Self-employed persons
71,500
40,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
31,600
73,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
54.4%
75.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
40.1%
20.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
13.9%
7.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
339,800
342,000
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
54,056
43,783
Enterprise births
5,551
2,987
Enterprise deaths
3,144
3,423
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.2%
4.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.4%
3.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
1.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
18.7%
50.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
27.1%
60.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.6%
18.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.8%
28.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
3.8%
8.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
90.9%
97.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,453,756
4,082,631
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
667 /1k
538 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
11,355 kt
33,112 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
54
22
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
37 km/1000km²
41 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
6
3
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
39
117
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
603,868
445,109
Population aged 65+
179,524
143,534
Population aged under 15
125,059
95,211
Median age of population
44.9 yrs
45.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
29.7%
32.2%
Crude rate of total population change
2.1 /1k
8.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.0 /1k
10.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.7 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
9.6 /1k
8.9 /1k
Live births
7,029
4,568
Deaths
8,709
6,042
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
50.4%
53.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.28
1.20
Population density (persons per km²)
344 /km²
66 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
774,935
715,651
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
41.2%
16.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.0 yrs
84.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
35.6%
12.3%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
257 /100k
316 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,058 /100k
725 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
238 /100k
194 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.2 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
43.7 /100k
69.6 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
287 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,393 /100k
299 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
47 /M
39 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
158 m
392 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
51 days/yr
42 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
22 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
17 days/yr
3 days/yr