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2 regions side-by-side

ITC15 · ES412

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NUTS-3 ITC15 · Italy
Population
364,1402025
GDP
€13,143M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,344.7 km²
NUTS-3 ES412 · Spain
Population
362,6632025
GDP
€11,304M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
14,293.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Novara (Opportunity 59). Runner-up: Burgos (49). Contrarian pick: Burgos — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 97).

Strengths
Industrial base (86) · Freight intensity (76)
Red flags
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 24 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Freight intensity (97) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Novara
Air quality (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 24 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Air quality (EU pctl 14) — Burgos may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsNovara · ManufacturingBurgos · OfficeBurgos · ResidentialNovara.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
59.2
48.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
43.3
47.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
42.6
53.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
13.7
74.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
62.3
16.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
18.0
60.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.2
48.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.4% 5y
1.5% 5y
Population
0.0% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.0% 5y
5.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€36,093
€31,169
Population density
271 /km²
25 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€11,807M
€10,315M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€113M
€341M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,624M
€3,090M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,420M
€2,600M
GVA — construction (F)
€690M
€603M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,408M
€2,084M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€24,400
€18,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
37,600 PPS
35,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€36,200
€31,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€44,851M
€13,527M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€10,323M
€2,707M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€61,911M
€32,274M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,538M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€167M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,112M
€2,045M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,861M
€2,153M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,042M
€10,376M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€84,711
€74,928
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,764M
€2,482M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
157,600
162,300
Self-employed persons
34,600
27,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
37,500
31,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.5%
75.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.3%
24.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.0%
8.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
172,600
175,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
26,362
22,997
Enterprise births
1,871
1,653
Enterprise deaths
1,576
1,534
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.8%
3.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.1%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.6%
3.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
21.2%
42.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
29.3%
52.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.0%
15.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.0%
22.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.0%
7.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.9%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,638,065
2,093,608
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
723 /1k
601 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,238 kt
26,257 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
43
21
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
36 km/1000km²
26 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
12
6
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
15
128
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
4
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
229,276
227,458
Population aged 65+
92,051
92,889
Population aged under 15
42,813
42,316
Median age of population
49.6 yrs
49.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.1%
40.8%
Crude rate of total population change
1.8 /1k
8.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.2 /1k
13.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.1 /1k
5.6 /1k
Crude death rate
11.5 /1k
11.0 /1k
Live births
2,212
2,031
Deaths
4,190
3,974
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.8%
59.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.19
1.12
Population density (persons per km²)
279 /km²
25 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
314,179
218,752
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.9%
24.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
84.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.0%
19.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
353 /100k
343 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
892 /100k
749 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
228 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.3 /100k
1.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
31.9 /100k
42.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
269 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
963 /100k
206 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
40 /M
68 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
222 m
906 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
17 days/yr
29 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
57 days/yr
50 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
21 days/yr
2 days/yr