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ES511 · ITC4C

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NUTS-3 ES511 · Spain
Population
5,959,9412025
GDP
€209,564M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,723.4 km²
NUTS-3 ITC4C · Italy
Population
3,246,4552025
GDP
€230,481M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,574.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Milano (Opportunity 73). Runner-up: Barcelona (72). Contrarian pick: Barcelona — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Economic base (97) · Demographic outlook (91)
No red flags
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Demographic outlook (91)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Milano
Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 18) — Barcelona may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsBarcelona · ManufacturingBarcelona · OfficeBarcelona · ResidentialMilano.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
71.9
72.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
42.5
35.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.1
48.6
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
18.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
49.0
70.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
76.8
29.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
68.4
53.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.2% 5y
3.6% 5y
Population
0.9% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.6% 5y
13.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€35,162
€70,995
Population density
772 /km²
2,062 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€190,895M
€207,052M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€880M
€288M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€35,438M
€31,679M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€29,449M
€24,765M
GVA — construction (F)
€9,083M
€8,915M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€55,126M
€62,205M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,900
€26,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
40,300 PPS
73,900 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€35,900
€71,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€57,689M
€101,220M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€9,484M
€19,922M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€147,909M
€188,904M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€23,051M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€17,421M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€55,293M
€79,975M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€35,076M
€23,987M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€198,856M
€209,864M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€78,611
€111,626
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€48,409M
€48,283M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
2,865,100
2,127,000
Self-employed persons
368,800
380,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
341,000
225,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.4%
71.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.1%
10.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.4%
2.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
3,145,800
1,539,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
489,832
336,627
Enterprise births
46,485
29,755
Enterprise deaths
39,035
19,744
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.2%
4.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.9%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.6%
5.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
1.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
46.9%
23.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
57.5%
34.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.2%
11.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
28.1%
18.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.8%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
98.5%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
41,221,572
22,844,935
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
450 /1k
640 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
141,294 kt
48,414 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
10,112
4,954
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
46 km/1000km²
32 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
170
153
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
52
13
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
4,007,868
2,099,966
Population aged 65+
1,174,289
752,754
Population aged under 15
777,784
393,735
Median age of population
44.4 yrs
47.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
29.3%
35.8%
Crude rate of total population change
13.9 /1k
0.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
15.6 /1k
3.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.6 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
8.2 /1k
9.8 /1k
Live births
39,034
21,441
Deaths
48,823
31,866
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
48.7%
54.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.04
1.14
Population density (persons per km²)
767 /km²
2,081 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
7,319,537
3,516,427
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
21.3%
12.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.3%
9.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
360 /100k
322 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
806 /100k
835 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
208 /100k
222 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.7 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
371 /100k
129 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
342 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,112 /100k
3,560 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
32 /M
38 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
368 m
118 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
45 days/yr
33 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
21 days/yr
43 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
19 days/yr