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EL431 · PL712

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NUTS-3 EL431 · Greece
Population
301,5982025
GDP
€5,458M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,649.1 km²
NUTS-3 PL712 · Poland
Population
384,8552025
GDP
€6,454M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,209.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Łódzki (Opportunity 45). Runner-up: Ηράκλειο (32). Contrarian pick: Ηράκλειο — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Industrial base (86) · Cost advantage (84)
Red flags
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (90) · Cost advantage (81)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Łódzki
Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 14) — Ηράκλειο may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsŁódzki · ManufacturingŁódzki · OfficeŁódzki · ResidentialΗράκλειο.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
32.0
44.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
15.5
31.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
31.9
33.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
22.0
15.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
29.7
44.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
17.8
58.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
60.2
63.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
5.3% 5y
2.6% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
21.7% 5y
3.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€18,096
€16,770
Population density
114 /km²
174 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,762M
€5,832M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€298M
€197M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€495M
€1,804M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€360M
€1,698M
GVA — construction (F)
€136M
€439M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,709M
€1,739M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€12,800
€12,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
21,600 PPS
23,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€17,500
€16,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€2,427M
€7,147M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€104M
€1,531M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€4,111M
€16,889M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€533M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€96M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,132M
€850M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€993M
€802M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,872M
€5,386M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€36,801
€49,586
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,349M
€1,191M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
162,650
161,900
Self-employed persons
50,970
29,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
9,820
42,300
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.0%
76.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
12.9%
13.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.1%
3.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
139,100
190,100
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
28,597
28,620
Enterprise births
2,429
2,824
Enterprise deaths
820
3,551
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
5.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.7%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.8%
4.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.7%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
28.5%
37.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
36.5%
41.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
3.1%
10.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.7%
26.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.4%
9.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
14,052,273
290,464
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
500 /1k
632 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,939 kt
14,723 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
38
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
1 km/1000km²
15 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
0
10
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
21
29
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
192,761
245,499
Population aged 65+
62,763
84,099
Population aged under 15
46,074
55,257
Median age of population
44.7 yrs
45.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.6%
34.3%
Crude rate of total population change
-3.0 /1k
-0.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-0.9 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.4 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude death rate
10.5 /1k
12.2 /1k
Live births
2,544
2,252
Deaths
3,180
4,710
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.5%
56.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.50
1.07
Population density (persons per km²)
115 /km²
175 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
299,129
287,068
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.2%
16.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.4 yrs
77.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.7%
14.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
410 /100k
551 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
966 /100k
1,585 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
213 /100k
267 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.7 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
3.0 /100k
3.4 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
39.3 /100k
136 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
222 /100k
223 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
71 /M
61 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.143/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.039/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
476 m
205 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
47 days/yr
7 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
4 days/yr
86 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
2 days/yr