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EL431 · PL228

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NUTS-3 EL431 · Greece
Population
301,5982025
GDP
€5,458M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,649.1 km²
NUTS-3 PL228 · Poland
Population
398,2582025
GDP
€5,825M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,577.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Bytomski (Opportunity 44). Runner-up: Ηράκλειο (32). Contrarian pick: Ηράκλειο — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Cost advantage (82) · Energy cost (79)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (90) · Cost advantage (81)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Bytomski
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 11) — Ηράκλειο may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Bytomski leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
32.0
43.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
15.5
29.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
31.9
39.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
22.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
29.7
55.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
17.8
56.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
60.2
58.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
5.3% 5y
2.7% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
1.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
21.7% 5y
5.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€18,096
€14,626
Population density
114 /km²
252 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,762M
€5,263M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€298M
€57M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€495M
€1,314M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€360M
€1,038M
GVA — construction (F)
€136M
€556M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,709M
€1,337M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€12,800
€12,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
21,600 PPS
21,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€17,500
€14,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€2,427M
€14,344M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€104M
€4,197M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€4,111M
€36,613M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€533M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€96M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,132M
€860M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€993M
€1,139M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,872M
€4,893M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€36,801
€47,172
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,349M
€1,100M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
162,650
149,000
Self-employed persons
50,970
21,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
9,820
24,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.0%
73.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
12.9%
9.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.1%
2.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
139,100
189,000
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
28,597
25,044
Enterprise births
2,429
2,559
Enterprise deaths
820
3,115
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
5.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.7%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.8%
5.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.7%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
28.5%
38.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
36.5%
43.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
3.1%
6.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.7%
28.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.4%
10.8%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
14,052,273
319,579
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
500 /1k
602 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,939 kt
11,585 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
1,237
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
1 km/1000km²
21 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
0
311
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
21
21
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
192,761
256,456
Population aged 65+
62,763
86,109
Population aged under 15
46,074
55,693
Median age of population
44.7 yrs
44.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.6%
33.6%
Crude rate of total population change
-3.0 /1k
-6.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-0.9 /1k
0.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.4 /1k
6.0 /1k
Crude death rate
10.5 /1k
12.5 /1k
Live births
2,544
2,389
Deaths
3,180
5,013
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.5%
55.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.50
1.06
Population density (persons per km²)
115 /km²
256 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
299,129
273,152
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.2%
10.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.4 yrs
78.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.7%
7.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
410 /100k
611 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
966 /100k
1,544 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
213 /100k
295 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.7 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
3.0 /100k
14.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
39.3 /100k
144 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
222 /100k
234 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
71 /M
30 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.143/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.039/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
476 m
289 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
47 days/yr
8 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
4 days/yr
83 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
3 days/yr