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EL421 · PL636

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NUTS-3 PL636 · Poland
Population
309,6532025
GDP
€4,750M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,256.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Słupski (Opportunity 37). Runner-up: Κάλυμνος, Κάρπαθος – Ηρωική Νήσος Κάσος, Κως, Ρόδος (28). Contrarian pick: Κάλυμνος, Κάρπαθος – Ηρωική Νήσος Κάσος, Κως, Ρόδος — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 98).

Strengths
Industrial base (93) · Cost advantage (90)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (98) · Cost advantage (73)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Słupski
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 13) — Κάλυμνος, Κάρπαθος – Ηρωική Νήσος Κάσος, Κως, Ρόδος may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Słupski leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
27.7
36.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
19.3
19.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
27.9
44.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
40.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
25.7
20.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
3.3
72.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
57.8
61.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
5.4% 5y
3.2% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
1.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
15.2% 5y
8.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€19,236
€15,341
Population density
78 /km²
59 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,543M
€4,292M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€65M
€243M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€243M
€1,629M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€95M
€1,463M
GVA — construction (F)
€61M
€273M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,791M
€772M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€16,100
€11,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,900 PPS
21,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€18,600
€14,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€1,625M
€8,238M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€39M
€1,560M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€2,789M
€17,730M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€387M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€34M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€716M
€512M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€667M
€863M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,636M
€4,082M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€37,143
€43,426
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,044M
€1,019M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
119,350
134,800
Self-employed persons
33,880
26,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
3,430
37,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
67.7%
76.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
23.6%
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
7.3%
2.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
95,000
151,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
22,206
19,841
Enterprise births
1,686
2,228
Enterprise deaths
529
2,922
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.3%
5.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.2%
2.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.4%
1.3%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
22.5%
43.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
26.6%
48.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
2.7%
9.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
12.5%
32.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.5%
11.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
95.7%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
28,745,136
1,986,551
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
399 /1k
600 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,313 kt
11,992 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
55
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
4 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
18
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
31
77
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
138,497
197,424
Population aged 65+
41,951
65,316
Population aged under 15
30,639
46,913
Median age of population
43.4 yrs
43.5 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
30.3%
33.1%
Crude rate of total population change
10.3 /1k
-4.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
10.3 /1k
0.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.7 /1k
6.8 /1k
Crude death rate
8.7 /1k
11.1 /1k
Live births
1,822
2,111
Deaths
1,836
3,451
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
52.4%
56.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.55
1.20
Population density (persons per km²)
79 /km²
61 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
270,212
237,977
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
27.5%
16.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.3 yrs
78.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
18.0%
13.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
263 /100k
470 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
972 /100k
1,427 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
213 /100k
290 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
1.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.1 /100k
12.9 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
72.8 /100k
187 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
329 /100k
281 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
132 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.143/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.039/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
297 m
108 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
74 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
80 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
3 days/yr