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DEB35 · DEF02

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NUTS-3 DEB35 · Germany
Population
224,6842025
GDP
€19,683M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
82.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
97.2 km²
NUTS-3 DEF02 · Germany
Population
252,6682025
GDP
€14,647M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
109.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Mainz, Kreisfreie Stadt (Opportunity 74). Runner-up: Kiel, Kreisfreie Stadt (55). Contrarian pick: Kiel, Kreisfreie Stadt — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 65).

Strengths
Economic base (98) · Labour market (76)
No red flags
Strengths
Economic base (91) · Demographic outlook (65)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Mainz, Kreisfreie Stadt
Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 26) — Kiel, Kreisfreie Stadt may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Mainz, Kreisfreie Stadt leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
74.4
54.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
41.5
57.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
56.4
54.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
28.3
51.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
72.7
39.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
57.5
35.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
68.0
39.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
5.9% 5y
0.2% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.9% 5y
4.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€87,601
€57,970
Population density
2,311 /km²
2,298 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€17,978M
€13,379M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€23M
€4M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,610M
€2,007M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,083M
€1,632M
GVA — construction (F)
€344M
€359M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,716M
€2,323M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€27,700
€28,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
78,700 PPS
52,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€88,400
€58,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€20,699M
€27,063M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€4,472M
€2,460M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€49,098M
€61,661M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€6,982M
€3,621M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€4,303M
€5,065M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€16,724M
€12,131M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€123,400
€86,880
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,230M
€3,290M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
167,060
180,810
Self-employed persons
9,940
10,480
Employment in manufacturing (C)
10,700
16,360
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
81.3%
80.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.4%
6.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.0%
3.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
133,600
144,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
8,341
7,637
Enterprise births
722
738
Enterprise deaths
734
691
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.3%
4.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
5.3%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.4%
4.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.1%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
36.8%
31.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
41.9%
32.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.1%
9.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
25.1%
21.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.8%
8.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,159,125
1,108,564
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
621 /1k
593 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,611 kt
3,859 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
759
827
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
338
327
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
35 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
22
80
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
156,299
172,470
Population aged 65+
40,470
49,169
Population aged under 15
27,915
31,029
Median age of population
38.7 yrs
40.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
25.9%
28.5%
Crude rate of total population change
3.6 /1k
3.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
3.6 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.9 /1k
8.2 /1k
Crude death rate
8.9 /1k
11.0 /1k
Live births
2,005
2,080
Deaths
2,003
2,772
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
43.8%
46.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.09
1.08
Population density (persons per km²)
2,361 /km²
2,156 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
203,053
238,919
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
23.2%
20.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.2 yrs
80.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
16.8%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,015 /100k
1,015 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
231 /100k
251 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
44.2 /100k
112 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
259 /100k
1,620 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,473 /100k
2,782 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
25 /M
29 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
153 m
28 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
16 days/yr
2 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
51 days/yr
49 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr