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DE248 · DE94D

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NUTS-3 DE248 · Germany
Population
116,1842025
GDP
€4,641M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
641.5 km²
NUTS-3 DE94D · Germany
Population
132,0082025
GDP
€4,622M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,065.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Oldenburg, Landkreis (Opportunity 55). Runner-up: Forchheim (53). Contrarian pick: Forchheim — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 97).

Strengths
Labour market (82) · Freight intensity (82)
No red flags
Strengths
Industrial base (97) · Labour market (88)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Oldenburg, Landkreis
Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 33) — Forchheim may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsOldenburg, Landkreis · ManufacturingForchheim · OfficeForchheim · ResidentialForchheim.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
52.8
55.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
42.5
66.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
67.9
58.8
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
78.3
79.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
31.0
34.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.4
65.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.2% 5y
2.1% 5y
Population
0.0% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.3% 5y
4.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€39,943
€35,013
Population density
181 /km²
124 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 81 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,239M
€4,222M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€54M
€249M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,804M
€1,098M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,682M
€842M
GVA — construction (F)
€219M
€315M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€534M
€877M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€29,100
€27,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,700 PPS
31,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€40,100
€35,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€14,094M
€31,047M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,882M
€2,687M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€27,035M
€59,034M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€889M
€839M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€739M
€844M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,956M
€3,847M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€103,705
€84,710
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,315M
€1,244M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
47,160
57,750
Self-employed persons
5,160
6,170
Employment in manufacturing (C)
11,930
11,460
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.6%
81.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
5.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.1%
2.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
64,000
71,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
4,287
4,852
Enterprise births
313
379
Enterprise deaths
335
425
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.2%
3.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.8%
0.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.5%
3.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.3%
0.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.8%
30.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
34.1%
38.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.8%
8.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.7%
20.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.9%
7.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
384,287
426,202
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
671 /1k
623 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,303 kt
6,152 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
952
1,289
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
819
977
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
27
28
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
72,987
82,912
Population aged 65+
26,342
30,388
Population aged under 15
16,855
18,708
Median age of population
47.0 yrs
47.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.1%
36.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.9 /1k
0.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.8 /1k
5.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.8 /1k
8.0 /1k
Crude death rate
11.5 /1k
13.0 /1k
Live births
909
1,053
Deaths
1,332
1,722
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.2%
59.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.46
1.49
Population density (persons per km²)
181 /km²
124 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
112,983
119,472
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
17.3%
26.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.8 yrs
80.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.7%
20.8%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,117 /100k
1,034 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
230 /100k
236 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
10.3 /100k
27.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
78.3 /100k
212 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
531 /100k
752 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
37 /M
54 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
285 m
24 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
5 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
70 days/yr
40 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
3 days/yr