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SE232 · FRI12

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NUTS-3 SE232 · Sweden
Population
1,772,8212025
GDP
€93,679M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
28,858 km²
NUTS-3 FRI12 · France
Population
1,720,5622025
GDP
€73,052M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.4%2025
Active firms
465,3242026
Cadastral parcels
1,987,4132026
Area
10,088.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Gironde (Opportunity 63). Runner-up: Västra Götalands län (57). Contrarian pick: Västra Götalands län — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 97).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (97) · Energy cost (88)
No red flags
Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (95)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Gironde
Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 16) — Västra Götalands län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsVästra Götalands län · ManufacturingVästra Götalands län · OfficeGironde · ResidentialGironde.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
56.5
62.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
59.3
69.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
62.1
57.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
49.0
52.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
25.3
66.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
94.8
74.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
24.8
56.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.1% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
1.0% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.3% 5y
1.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€52,842
€42,458
Population density
61 /km²
171 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
1,155
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
270

All indicators · 90 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€83,897M
€65,236M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€752M
€862M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€21,067M
€7,751M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€19,342M
€5,664M
GVA — construction (F)
€5,232M
€3,990M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€18,574M
€14,197M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,600
€24,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
44,400 PPS
39,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€52,600
€42,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€30,722M
€30,151M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€7,348M
€2,628M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€50,417M
€68,404M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€7,714M
€9,368M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€4,834M
€3,728M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€19,470M
€21,049M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€18,802M
€17,388M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€87,110M
€65,515M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€106,526
€90,805
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€29,470M
€16,491M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
935,570
819,900
Self-employed persons
41,800
104,000
Employment in manufacturing (C)
120,900
55,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
84.1%
79.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
21.7%
18.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.5%
7.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
991,600
869,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
137,863
159,095
Enterprise births
11,369
22,987
Enterprise deaths
9,666
18,591
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.2%
6.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
5.6%
1.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.6%
4.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
3.0%
1.2%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
50.5%
44.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.9%
53.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
37.9%
18.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
33.2%
27.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
14.5%
8.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.4%
96.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
11,383,110
13,070,458
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
466 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
68,504 kt
34,047 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
45
9,445
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
20 km/1000km²
21 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
549
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
79
11
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
1,116,302
1,092,091
Population aged 65+
359,559
359,182
Population aged under 15
296,960
269,289
Median age of population
40.6 yrs
42.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.2%
32.9%
Crude rate of total population change
3.3 /1k
8.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.1 /1k
8.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.7 /1k
9.0 /1k
Crude death rate
8.5 /1k
8.7 /1k
Live births
17,114
15,392
Deaths
15,083
14,868
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.8%
57.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.45
1.39
Population density (persons per km²)
74 /km²
173 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
2,449,552
2,185,090
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.9%
19.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
83.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.7%
15.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
165 /100k
545 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
841 /100k
807 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
203 /100k
222 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
46.4 /100k
92.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
638 /100k
573 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,471 /100k
2,502 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
19 /M
57 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.46
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.27
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.02
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
1.39
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.02
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
2,542 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
126 m
6 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
25 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
97 days/yr
14 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
6 days/yr