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2 regions side-by-side

RO312 · PL623

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NUTS-3 RO312 · Romania
Population
278,6022025
GDP
€2,538M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
68.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,071.7 km²
NUTS-3 PL623 · Poland
Population
254,0712025
GDP
€3,000M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,348.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Ełcki (Opportunity 27). Runner-up: Călăraşi (25). Contrarian pick: Călăraşi — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 98).

Strengths
Cost advantage (92) · Energy cost (79)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (98) · Industrial base (64)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Ełcki
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 4) — Călăraşi may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Ełcki leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
24.7
27.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
45.8
33.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
18.0
32.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
44.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
23.7
14.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
16.0
21.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
44.8
53.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.1% 5y
2.8% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
1.9% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.9% 5y
0.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€9,109
€11,806
Population density
55 /km²
40 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€2,300M
€2,710M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€263M
€290M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€519M
€616M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€466M
€508M
GVA — construction (F)
€194M
€215M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€456M
€577M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€7,400
€10,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
15,100 PPS
17,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€9,100
€11,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,781M
€3,635M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,628M
€684M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€12,452M
€7,205M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€150M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€13M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€340M
€390M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€529M
€622M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€1,570M
€2,618M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€25,800
€36,902
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€605M
€689M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
109,490
99,800
Self-employed persons
40,000
20,900
Employment in manufacturing (C)
14,630
19,400
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
68.4%
71.9%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
39.3%
17.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.5%
3.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
121,700
118,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
9,189
13,323
Enterprise births
949
1,423
Enterprise deaths
600
1,961
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
5.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.4%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
1.5%
2.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.2%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
14.0%
31.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
16.7%
33.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.4%
5.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
11.8%
20.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.6%
6.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.7%
93.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
33,310
962,816
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
403 /1k
597 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,287 kt
9,206 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
84
463
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
9 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
30
182
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
85
147
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
178,140
164,238
Population aged 65+
57,134
52,886
Population aged under 15
43,328
36,947
Median age of population
44.6 yrs
43.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.1%
32.2%
Crude rate of total population change
-2.7 /1k
-7.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
5.6 /1k
-3.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.9 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude death rate
15.2 /1k
11.3 /1k
Live births
1,931
1,639
Deaths
4,246
2,887
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.4%
54.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.33
1.16
Population density (persons per km²)
57 /km²
44 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
153,648
180,417
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
27.5%
19.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
76.3 yrs
77.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.3%
18.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
542 /100k
584 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,895 /100k
1,595 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
255 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.2 /100k
14.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
116 /100k
160 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
203 /100k
162 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
76 /M
63 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.20
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.39
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.44
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.07
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.55
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.155/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.051/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
40 m
146 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
44 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
61 days/yr
96 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
3 days/yr