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PT1D3 · HR031

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NUTS-3 PT1D3 · Portugal
Population
251,3742025
GDP
€5,575M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,267.1 km²
NUTS-3 HR031 · Croatia
Population
265,9902025
GDP
€6,688M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,573.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lezíria do Tejo (Opportunity 44). Runner-up: Primorsko-goranska županija (43). Contrarian pick: Primorsko-goranska županija — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Energy cost (90) · Air quality (88)
Red flags
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (90) · Growth momentum (75)
Red flags
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Lezíria do Tejo
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 8) — Primorsko-goranska županija may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Lezíria do Tejo leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
44.4
43.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
82.8
20.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
42.5
30.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
88.0
55.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
29.3
46.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
55.0
36.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
71.0
75.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
6.9% 5y
Population
1.4% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€22,179
€25,143
Population density
59 /km²
74 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,848M
€5,546M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€457M
€50M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,014M
€1,020M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€832M
€902M
GVA — construction (F)
€177M
€360M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,284M
€1,895M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,400
€11,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
27,200 PPS
35,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,300
€25,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€3,139M
€7,641M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€831M
€658M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€7,446M
€13,216M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€444M
€573M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€35M
€164M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€885M
€1,186M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€829M
€1,035M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,313M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€56,601
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,048M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
105,530
126,030
Self-employed persons
16,070
18,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
15,190
14,550
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.1%
72.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.8%
18.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
121,400
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
24,347
21,226
Enterprise births
3,884
2,497
Enterprise deaths
2,766
1,272
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.0%
5.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.9%
0.7%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.0%
2.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
0.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
28.5%
31.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
40.7%
43.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.0%
6.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
20.2%
23.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.7%
6.5%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
90.6%
87.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
329,362
15,492,740
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
549 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
14
67
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,018 kt
7,883 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
6
25
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
27 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
57
17
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
155,884
163,527
Population aged 65+
63,757
70,753
Population aged under 15
31,733
31,710
Median age of population
47.7 yrs
48.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.9%
43.3%
Crude rate of total population change
20.7 /1k
4.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
26.1 /1k
11.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.3 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude death rate
12.6 /1k
14.2 /1k
Live births
1,896
1,715
Deaths
3,286
3,758
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
61.3%
62.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.46
1.20
Population density (persons per km²)
59 /km²
74 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
179,324
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.4%
20.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.4 yrs
79.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.2%
19.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
156 /100k
531 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,391 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
217 /100k
295 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
50.9 /100k
22.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
134 /100k
238 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
668 /100k
439 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
86 /M
75 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.30
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.43
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.11
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.73
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.126/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
23 m
881 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
66 days/yr
1 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
2 days/yr
90 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
33 days/yr