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PT111 · EL653

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NUTS-3 PT111 · Portugal
Population
234,6452025
GDP
€4,967M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,213.8 km²
NUTS-3 EL653 · Greece
Population
226,3762025
GDP
€4,080M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,656.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Alto Minho (Opportunity 43). Runner-up: Λακωνία, Μεσσηνία (30). Contrarian pick: Λακωνία, Μεσσηνία — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 86).

Strengths
Air quality (99) · Energy cost (90)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (86) · Cost advantage (84)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Alto Minho
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 6) — Λακωνία, Μεσσηνία may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Alto Minho leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.4
29.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
56.5
33.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
48.8
31.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
98.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
25.7
6.5
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
63.0
17.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
67.8
52.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.4% 5y
4.2% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.5% 5y
6.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€21,168
€18,021
Population density
106 /km²
34 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,319M
€3,560M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€83M
€665M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,201M
€510M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€910M
€394M
GVA — construction (F)
€249M
€106M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€833M
€748M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€13,800
€12,100
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
25,800 PPS
20,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€21,200
€16,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€16,004M
€1,939M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,831M
€94M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€39,066M
€3,179M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€433M
€631M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€39M
€28M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€809M
€835M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€829M
€696M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,222M
€3,571M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€48,991
€37,867
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,063M
€926M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
104,580
117,070
Self-employed persons
19,540
50,920
Employment in manufacturing (C)
23,100
4,620
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.8%
74.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
18.4%
28.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.3%
8.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
114,500
105,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
29,084
19,539
Enterprise births
4,111
1,272
Enterprise deaths
3,182
580
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.9%
3.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
1.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.4%
1.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
29.8%
25.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
41.3%
41.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.7%
2.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.3%
14.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
10.5%
5.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
88.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,228,849
3,246,258
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
208 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
2,377 kt
3,261 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
36
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
19 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
15
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
73
164
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
140,731
136,374
Population aged 65+
68,549
63,451
Population aged under 15
25,365
26,551
Median age of population
50.6 yrs
50.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
48.7%
46.5%
Crude rate of total population change
10.0 /1k
-3.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
16.9 /1k
4.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.3 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude death rate
13.2 /1k
14.7 /1k
Live births
1,518
1,442
Deaths
3,192
3,340
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
66.7%
66.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.29
1.39
Population density (persons per km²)
107 /km²
34 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
147,263
204,276
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.7%
38.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.1 yrs
81.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
15.6%
30.1%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
327 /100k
239 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
914 /100k
1,000 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
219 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
23.1 /100k
0.9 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
191 /100k
99.5 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
562 /100k
376 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
88 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.02
0.56
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.81
0.42
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.13
0.49
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.79
0.32
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.89
0.24
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.143/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
€0.039/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
546 m
324 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
6 days/yr
91 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
17 days/yr
7 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
37 days/yr
6 days/yr