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PL912 · PL823

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NUTS-3 PL912 · Poland
Population
695,6412025
GDP
€10,792M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
86.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,120.8 km²
NUTS-3 PL823 · Poland
Population
620,1492025
GDP
€10,913M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,555.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Warszawski wschodni (Opportunity 61). Runner-up: Rzeszowski (46). Contrarian pick: Rzeszowski — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 94).

Strengths
Labour market (100) · Talent & skills (96)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (94) · Demographic outlook (89)
Red flags
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Warszawski wschodni
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 14) — Rzeszowski may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Warszawski wschodni leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
61.1
45.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
61.0
22.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.0
35.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
24.7
13.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
45.0
55.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
95.8
41.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
84.4
63.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.3% 5y
4.7% 5y
Population
1.5% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
10.7% 5y
3.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€15,514
€17,598
Population density
223 /km²
174 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€9,751M
€9,861M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€416M
€93M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,563M
€2,662M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,308M
€2,251M
GVA — construction (F)
€869M
€711M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,280M
€2,853M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€15,300
€9,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,500 PPS
25,700 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€15,200
€17,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€25,304M
€5,847M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,739M
€1,209M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€54,507M
€11,647M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,994M
€1,509M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,629M
€2,032M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€9,015M
€9,552M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€67,637
€44,535
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,326M
€2,631M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
195,500
311,600
Self-employed persons
40,200
51,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
40,600
50,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
83.0%
69.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
10.4%
21.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.1%
3.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
386,500
278,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
56,612
43,710
Enterprise births
6,183
5,167
Enterprise deaths
6,867
5,154
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.4%
5.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.8%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
11.5%
2.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
3.6%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
65.3%
34.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
69.6%
42.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
18.6%
5.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
45.5%
24.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
16.1%
8.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.9%
97.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
686,546
793,386
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
685 /1k
612 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
15,782 kt
18,044 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,033
2,237
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
149
361
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
9 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
43
2
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
453,885
401,159
Population aged 65+
118,448
115,095
Population aged under 15
123,308
103,895
Median age of population
41.2 yrs
41.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
26.1%
28.7%
Crude rate of total population change
5.6 /1k
2.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.4 /1k
3.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.8 /1k
8.6 /1k
Crude death rate
10.7 /1k
9.3 /1k
Live births
5,424
5,296
Deaths
7,394
5,780
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
53.3%
54.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.29
1.29
Population density (persons per km²)
225 /km²
175 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
656,288
614,982
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
7.1%
18.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.9 yrs
79.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
6.1%
16.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
537 /100k
691 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,339 /100k
1,450 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
268 /100k
217 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.0 /100k
1.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
7.8 /100k
3.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
123 /100k
30.6 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
252 /100k
100 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
27 /M
53 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
183 m
212 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
7 days/yr
7 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
92 days/yr
85 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
4 days/yr