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PL824 · PL428

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NUTS-3 PL824 · Poland
Population
550,3702025
GDP
€8,587M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,463.8 km²
NUTS-3 PL428 · Poland
Population
485,7742025
GDP
€7,421M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,443.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Szczeciński (Opportunity 46). Runner-up: Tarnobrzeski (42). Contrarian pick: Tarnobrzeski — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 96).

Strengths
Cost advantage (88) · Energy cost (79)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Industrial base (96) · Cost advantage (94)
Red flags
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Resilience (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Szczeciński
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 13) — Tarnobrzeski may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsSzczeciński · ManufacturingSzczeciński · OfficeTarnobrzeski · ResidentialSzczeciński.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
41.6
45.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
9.3
29.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
35.7
44.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
25.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
37.7
46.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
41.0
46.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
58.6
64.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.0% 5y
2.6% 5y
Population
1.6% 5y
0.8% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.0% 5y
0.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€15,603
€15,277
Population density
123 /km²
65 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,759M
€6,706M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€103M
€327M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,339M
€1,820M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,969M
€1,396M
GVA — construction (F)
€490M
€596M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,710M
€1,780M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€9,600
€11,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,700 PPS
21,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€15,300
€14,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€5,847M
€5,453M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,209M
€756M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€11,647M
€9,982M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€888M
€960M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,229M
€1,223M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€7,517M
€6,366M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€45,900
€44,465
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,070M
€1,779M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
237,900
207,400
Self-employed persons
39,800
38,700
Employment in manufacturing (C)
70,700
45,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
69.5%
73.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
21.3%
10.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.6%
2.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
244,600
231,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
29,855
34,617
Enterprise births
3,134
3,684
Enterprise deaths
3,801
5,058
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.5%
5.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
0.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.3%
3.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
34.2%
38.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.2%
40.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
5.8%
6.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
24.7%
26.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.1%
8.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.9%
95.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
353,753
5,786,709
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
612 /1k
599 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
16,050 kt
16,847 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
222
652
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
9 km/1000km²
1 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
40
134
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
37
26
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
352,498
313,673
Population aged 65+
116,802
103,355
Population aged under 15
81,070
68,746
Median age of population
43.9 yrs
44.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
33.1%
32.9%
Crude rate of total population change
-6.8 /1k
-2.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-2.8 /1k
3.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.6 /1k
6.1 /1k
Crude death rate
10.6 /1k
11.5 /1k
Live births
3,660
2,945
Deaths
5,850
5,588
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.1%
54.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.15
1.09
Population density (persons per km²)
125 /km²
67 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
403,377
328,344
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.4%
15.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.5 yrs
77.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.5%
12.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
691 /100k
1,257 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,450 /100k
1,526 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
217 /100k
288 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.5 /100k
8.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
65.3 /100k
117 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
110 /100k
225 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
53 /M
62 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
166 m
54 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
9 days/yr
5 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
84 days/yr
70 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr