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PL634 · PL912

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NUTS-3 PL634 · Poland
Population
635,0342025
GDP
€8,455M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,291.6 km²
NUTS-3 PL912 · Poland
Population
695,6412025
GDP
€10,792M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
86.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,120.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Warszawski wschodni (Opportunity 61). Runner-up: Gdański (50). Contrarian pick: Gdański — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Labour market (100) · Talent & skills (96)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (90) · Demographic outlook (89)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Warszawski wschodni
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 14) — Gdański may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsGdański · ManufacturingWarszawski wschodni · OfficeWarszawski wschodni · ResidentialWarszawski wschodni.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
49.6
61.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
55.5
61.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
45.9
54.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
24.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
43.7
45.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
72.0
95.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
81.6
84.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.9% 5y
3.3% 5y
Population
1.5% 5y
1.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.0% 5y
10.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€13,314
€15,514
Population density
148 /km²
223 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,640M
€9,751M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€270M
€416M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,983M
€2,563M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,718M
€2,308M
GVA — construction (F)
€888M
€869M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,118M
€2,280M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,000
€15,300
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
19,300 PPS
22,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€13,100
€15,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€8,238M
€25,304M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,560M
€1,739M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€17,730M
€54,507M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,124M
€1,994M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,256M
€1,629M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€7,265M
€9,015M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€43,850
€67,637
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,813M
€2,326M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
237,600
195,500
Self-employed persons
52,900
40,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
43,100
40,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.5%
83.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
7.3%
10.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.7%
2.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
321,800
386,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
51,364
56,612
Enterprise births
6,420
6,183
Enterprise deaths
7,105
6,867
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
5.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.3%
2.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.7%
11.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.3%
3.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
43.6%
65.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
48.8%
69.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.1%
18.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
32.0%
45.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
11.7%
16.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
95.7%
97.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,214,647
686,546
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
600 /1k
685 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
21,655 kt
15,782 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,100
1,033
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
173
149
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
4 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
24
43
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
418,302
453,885
Population aged 65+
96,195
118,448
Population aged under 15
120,537
123,308
Median age of population
39.2 yrs
41.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
23.0%
26.1%
Crude rate of total population change
8.5 /1k
5.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.2 /1k
8.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.1 /1k
7.8 /1k
Crude death rate
8.8 /1k
10.7 /1k
Live births
5,731
5,424
Deaths
5,576
7,394
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
51.8%
53.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.40
1.29
Population density (persons per km²)
150 /km²
225 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
716,376
656,288
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.8%
7.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
78.7 yrs
79.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.5%
6.1%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
470 /100k
537 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,427 /100k
1,339 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
290 /100k
268 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
1.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
6.8 /100k
7.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
128 /100k
123 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
193 /100k
252 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
27 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
174 m
183 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
2 days/yr
7 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
87 days/yr
92 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
3 days/yr