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LT026 · EL632

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NUTS-3 LT026 · Lithuania
Population
266,7362025
GDP
€5,144M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
8,542.1 km²
NUTS-3 EL632 · Greece
Population
299,6892025
GDP
€4,833M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
66.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,270.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Šiaulių apskritis (Opportunity 37). Runner-up: Αχαΐα (30). Contrarian pick: Αχαΐα — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 88).

Strengths
Cost advantage (80) · Growth momentum (74)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (88) · Freight intensity (65)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Šiaulių apskritis
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 1) — Αχαΐα may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Šiaulių apskritis leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
37.1
29.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
46.3
21.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
32.1
23.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
27.0
4.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
34.0
7.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
66.3
5.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
74.2
54.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.7% 5y
3.5% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.2% 5y
14.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€19,285
€16,127
Population density
31 /km²
92 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,607M
€4,217M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€341M
€196M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€928M
€535M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€714M
€406M
GVA — construction (F)
€309M
€132M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,514M
€976M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,200
€11,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
24,600 PPS
20,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€19,300
€16,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€10,284M
€1,755M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,567M
€79M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€21,259M
€3,384M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€328M
€745M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€80M
€102M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€732M
€1,144M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€783M
€1,233M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,873M
€4,377M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€44,276
€43,475
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,349M
€1,026M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
124,820
120,740
Self-employed persons
12,990
34,410
Employment in manufacturing (C)
22,230
9,080
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
78.7%
66.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.5%
27.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
7.8%
9.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
140,300
134,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
23,346
24,246
Enterprise births
4,754
2,124
Enterprise deaths
4,152
1,030
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.9%
4.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
1.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.9%
1.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.7%
21.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
26.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.4%
4.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
26.8%
14.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.7%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
296,252
969,498
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
611 /1k
318 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,073 kt
10,568 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2,097
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
7 km/1000km²
20 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
786
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
115
181
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
173,117
192,916
Population aged 65+
59,413
67,171
Population aged under 15
34,206
39,602
Median age of population
46.5 yrs
45.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
34.3%
34.8%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.3 /1k
-4.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.7 /1k
-0.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.6 /1k
6.9 /1k
Crude death rate
14.6 /1k
11.3 /1k
Live births
1,506
2,083
Deaths
3,898
3,387
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
54.1%
55.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.09
1.30
Population density (persons per km²)
32 /km²
92 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
127,932
185,206
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
30.7%
27.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
77.2 yrs
81.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
26.2%
23.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
511 /100k
316 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,630 /100k
1,085 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
259 /100k
234 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.9 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
6.8 /100k
7.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
24.0 /100k
36.5 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
165 /100k
305 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
49 /M
93 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.94
0.56
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.19
0.42
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.23
0.49
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.86
0.32
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.96
0.24
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.136/kWh
€0.143/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.050/kWh
€0.039/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
115 m
838 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
3 days/yr
22 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
111 days/yr
27 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
11 days/yr