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LT021 · EL515

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NUTS-3 LT021 · Lithuania
Population
132,9192025
GDP
€2,007M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,418.5 km²
NUTS-3 EL515 · Greece
Population
124,9172025
GDP
€2,225M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
10.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
67.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,138.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Alytaus apskritis (Opportunity 30). Runner-up: Θάσος, Καβάλα (22). Contrarian pick: Θάσος, Καβάλα — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 88).

Strengths
Cost advantage (80) · Talent & skills (66)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (88) · Freight intensity (75)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Alytaus apskritis
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 0) — Θάσος, Καβάλα may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsΘάσος, Καβάλα · ManufacturingAlytaus apskritis · OfficeAlytaus apskritis · ResidentialAlytaus apskritis.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
29.7
21.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
38.5
17.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
41.7
23.8
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
44.0
48.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
66.3
21.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
60.0
48.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.0% 5y
5.1% 5y
Population
0.9% 5y
1.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.4% 5y
9.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€15,101
€17,809
Population density
25 /km²
58 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€1,798M
€1,941M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€93M
€89M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€406M
€379M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€322M
€264M
GVA — construction (F)
€158M
€64M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€453M
€642M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,200
€11,100
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
19,200 PPS
21,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€15,000
€17,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€10,284M
€1,728M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,567M
€170M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€21,259M
€3,128M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€178M
€260M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€43M
€26M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€270M
€405M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€418M
€362M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€1,511M
€2,061M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€36,061
€41,424
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€526M
€555M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
59,800
58,180
Self-employed persons
8,390
21,160
Employment in manufacturing (C)
11,930
5,310
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
78.7%
67.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.5%
23.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
7.7%
10.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
68,400
53,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
12,699
11,836
Enterprise births
2,462
852
Enterprise deaths
2,122
482
3-year enterprise survival rate
6.4%
4.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.9%
1.9%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.7%
28.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
42.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.4%
4.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
26.8%
16.6%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.7%
6.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,193,175
2,799,896
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
611 /1k
412 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,624 kt
5,119 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,586
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
7 km/1000km²
17 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1,193
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
81
17
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
84,459
76,189
Population aged 65+
33,026
32,960
Population aged under 15
15,434
15,768
Median age of population
49.7 yrs
49.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
39.1%
43.3%
Crude rate of total population change
-9.4 /1k
-8.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.8 /1k
-0.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.0 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude death rate
15.3 /1k
15.1 /1k
Live births
672
817
Deaths
2,040
1,889
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
57.4%
64.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
0.96
1.36
Population density (persons per km²)
26 /km²
60 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
46,335
105,356
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
30.7%
31.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
77.2 yrs
80.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
26.2%
26.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
511 /100k
435 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,630 /100k
1,154 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
259 /100k
245 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
2.2 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
6.0 /100k
2.4 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
18.6 /100k
20.6 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
301 /100k
146 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
49 /M
73 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.94
0.56
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.19
0.42
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.23
0.49
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.86
0.32
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.96
0.24
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.136/kWh
€0.143/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.050/kWh
€0.039/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
128 m
230 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
4 days/yr
24 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
103 days/yr
20 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
12 days/yr