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ITI15 · ITF48

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NUTS-3 ITI15 · Italy
Population
259,6572025
GDP
€9,322M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
364.4 km²
NUTS-3 ITF48 · Italy
Population
377,0932025
GDP
€7,512M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
10%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
55.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,535.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Prato (Opportunity 50). Runner-up: Barletta-Andria-Trani (36). Contrarian pick: Barletta-Andria-Trani — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (90) · Industrial base (78)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (70) · Demographic outlook (64)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Prato
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 19) — Barletta-Andria-Trani may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Prato leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
50.0
36.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
41.8
42.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
44.7
22.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
12.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
63.3
27.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
23.3
12.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.2
46.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.7% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.0% 5y
3.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€35,900
€19,920
Population density
712 /km²
246 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€8,374M
€6,748M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€44M
€279M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,324M
€936M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,119M
€812M
GVA — construction (F)
€435M
€475M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,772M
€1,599M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,000
€17,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
37,300 PPS
20,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€35,900
€19,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€29,682M
€21,133M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€5,009M
€1,693M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€51,756M
€36,660M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,446M
€1,041M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€145M
€55M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,562M
€1,828M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,236M
€1,630M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€8,514M
€6,825M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€71,126
€61,293
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,014M
€1,749M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
133,200
126,400
Self-employed persons
31,700
37,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
47,600
17,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.7%
56.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.1%
32.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.3%
10.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
129,400
144,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
28,730
26,333
Enterprise births
2,073
1,787
Enterprise deaths
1,624
1,573
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.7%
3.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
0.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
2.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.8%
18.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
30.8%
27.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.7%
8.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.4%
17.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.9%
4.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.6%
91.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
606,930
588,157
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
744 /1k
649 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
969
3
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,021 kt
4,221 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
373
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
16 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
16
52
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
168,985
246,267
Population aged 65+
60,145
83,672
Population aged under 15
30,527
47,154
Median age of population
48.0 yrs
47.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
35.6%
34.0%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.0 /1k
-2.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
3.7 /1k
0.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.3 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
10.0 /1k
9.2 /1k
Live births
1,389
2,509
Deaths
2,610
3,460
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
53.7%
53.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.02
1.18
Population density (persons per km²)
712 /km²
253 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
282,653
284,806
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.1%
35.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.2 yrs
83.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.8%
27.6%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
285 /100k
274 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
848 /100k
946 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
211 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.8 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
125 /100k
40.6 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,602 /100k
1,725 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
51 /M
62 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
225 m
229 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
40 days/yr
59 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
25 days/yr
7 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
15 days/yr
5 days/yr